Stock Price & Analysis

Analysis and Insights

EPR Properties (EPR) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in entertainment, education, and recreation properties. To determine whether to buy or sell EPR stock, we analyze both fundamental and technical factors.

Valuation Analysis:

EPR currently has a market cap of $3.91 billion and a P/E ratio of 32.03, which is higher than the industry average. This suggests that the stock might be overvalued compared to its earnings.

Analyst Sentiment:

Analysts have a mixed outlook on EPR. Truist Financial maintained a Hold rating with a price target of $51, while the overall consensus is a Hold with a price target of $53.25. This indicates cautious optimism among analysts.

Insider Activity:

There has been significant insider selling activity, with 43 insiders selling shares recently. This negative sentiment could indicate a lack of confidence in the company's short-term prospects.

Technical Analysis:

The stock price has been declining recently, with a drop of 1.98% during regular market hours. This could indicate a bearish trend forming.

Conclusion:

Given the high P/E ratio, insider selling, and cautious analyst sentiment, it may be advisable to sell EPR stock at this time. The stock appears overvalued, and the negative insider activity raises concerns about its short-term performance.

EPR Properties (EPR) is expected to trade between $51 and $53 in 2025, with a potential upside to $54 if market conditions improve. The stock is currently trading near key Fibonacci support levels, and analysts have raised their price targets, with an average consensus of $53.25.

The S1 support level for EPR Stock is $50.74 ,The R1 resistant level for EPR Stock is $52.27.

As of the end of day on 2025-03-26, the price of EPR Stock was $51.2.

The target price for EPR Stock according to analyst rating is 52.00, with the highest price target at 58.00 and the lowest at 46.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on EPR Stock overall.

The market cap of EPR is $3.9B.

EPR Properties appears overvalued based on its high valuation multiples and recent financial performance.

1. High Valuation Multiples: EPR's EV/EBITDA ratio of 16.5x is elevated compared to industry averages, suggesting potential overvaluation.
2. Dividend Yield: While the 4.4% dividend yield is attractive, the stock's price drop of 5.9% YTD indicates investor concerns.
3. Financial Performance: Q4 net income turned negative (-$8.39 million), raising questions about profitability trends.
4. Insider Activity: Significant insider selling (e.g., CFO selling 13,700 shares) signals weak internal confidence.
5. Analyst Sentiment: The Hold rating and $53.25 price target (vs. $51.39 current price) suggest limited upside potential.

These factors collectively indicate that EPR may be overvalued at current levels.

EPR Properties is a diversified experiential net lease real estate investment trust (REIT), specializing in select enduring experiential properties in the real estate industry. The Company operates through two segments: Experiential and Education. The Experiential segment consists of approximately 166 theatre properties, 58 eat and play properties, 23 attraction properties, 11 ski properties, seven experiential lodging properties, one gaming property, three cultural properties, and 20 fitness and wellness properties. The Company’s Education segment consists of property types, which include 61 early childhood education center properties, and nine private school properties. The Company's investment portfolio includes ownership of and long-term mortgages on Experiential and Education properties. The Company has investments in approximately 44 states. All of the Company's owned single-tenant properties are leased under long-term, triple-net leases.

EPR stock is predicted to reach $65 by 2030, driven by its diversified experiential property portfolio and stable cash flow. The stock may rise to $75 if the entertainment and leisure sectors recover strongly, but could drop to $55 if growth slows.

EPR has a total of 55 employees.