EFC Valuation

Ellington Financial Inc

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14.020

+0.33(2.411%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

EFC Relative Valuation

EFC's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, EFC is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 7.77 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 8.35. The fair price of Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) is between 30.57 to 33.42 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 14.02 USD , Ellington Financial Inc is Undervalued By 54.14%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

30.57-33.42

Current Price：14.02

54.14%

Undervalued

7.77

Trailing

Forward

0.00

EV/EBITDA

Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) has a current EV/EBITDA of 0.00. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.00

EV/EBIT

Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) has a current EV/EBIT of 0.00. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

2.84

Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) has a current PS of 2.84. The 5-year average PS is 2.95. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.24, Undervalued between 1.24 and 2.10, Fairly Valued between 3.81 and 2.10, Overvalued between 3.81 and 4.66, and Strongly Overvalued above 4.66. The current Forward PS of 2.84 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Ellington Financial Inc. (EFC) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.00. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.88 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 13.62% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.90, the current P/B ratio is about 11.47% higher. Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -44.80%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -19.01%, the current FCF yield is approximately 135.68% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -6.60% , the current FCF yield is about 578.55% lower.

1.00

P/B

Median3y

0.88

Median5y

0.90

-44.80

FCF Yield

Median3y

-19.01

Median5y

-6.60

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for EFC's competitors is 5.19, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Ellington Financial Inc Corp (EFC) exhibits a P/S ratio of 2.84, which is -45.26% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -4.24%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

EFC.N

Ellington Financial Inc

SmartStop Self Storage REIT Inc

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc

Alexander & Baldwin Inc (Hawaii)

6.60

1.28%

1.39B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of EFC increased by 6.62% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 9.05 to 11.05.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -4.24%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of EFC in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-4.24%

131.35M → 125.77M

Revenue Growth

-11.22%

45.74 → 40.61

Margin Expansion

22.08%

9.05 → 11.05

P/E Change

6.62%