Quarterly Results
EFC Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, EFC remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 132.07M and an EPS of 0.46.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 2.43%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 5.9%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 6.95% . These revisions correlate with a 2.52% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in EFC long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+2.43%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+5.9%
In Past 3 Month
Unlock the reason behind revisions!
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
+6.95%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
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+2.52%
In Past 3 Month
Earnings Forecast
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Currency: USD
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how EFC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, EFC sees a +0.86% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.49% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.05%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 0.80% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -0.22% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of EFC's latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
EFC reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 122.85M against an estimate of 121.32M, resulting in a 1.26% surprise. The EPS was 0.53, surpassing the expected 0.44 by 20.45% . The stock experienced a 0.8% price change on the earnings day and a 1.98% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did EFC's stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
Following EFC's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by 0.80% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 1.98% change. Historically, EFC's stock price tends to shift by an average of +0.86% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.49% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for EFC for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate EFC’s annual revenue to reach 132.07M, while the EPS is projected at 0.46. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 2.43% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 6.95% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does EFC's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between EFC's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 2.43%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 6.95% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from EFC's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, EFC's stock price typically moves by +0.86% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.49% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.46 and revenue of 132.07M.
What is the sentiment in Ellington Financial Inc (EFC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, strategic growth initiatives, and a robust shareholder return plan. Despite some concerns about market conditions and potential risks, management's optimistic guidance, continued dividend coverage, and strategic focus on securitization and non-QM loan growth are positive indicators. The Q&A section reveals confidence in credit performance and resilience against market shocks. Given the company's market cap, the stock price is likely to see a positive movement in the next two weeks.