Should I Buy EAF? EAF 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy GrafTech International Ltd (EAF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

16.390

1 Day change

-4.54%

52 Week Range

20.320

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

EAF is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor. The stock is trading around 17.17 while the only listed analyst target is 14 (Neutral), implying downside from current levels. Technicals are mixed-to-weak (MACD still negative, RSI neutral), and fundamentals show revenue growth but worsening losses and a sharp deterioration in gross margin in 2025/Q3. Despite notable insider buying and bullish options open-interest positioning, the risk/reward at this price is unfavorable for an impatient long-term entry.

Technical Analysis

Price/Trend: EAF is hovering near the pivot (17.128) with the post-market price at 17.17, suggesting a near-term balance point rather than a clear uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is -0.152 (below zero) but negatively contracting, which can indicate bearish momentum is fading, yet it has not flipped bullish. RSI: RSI(6) at ~51 is neutral—no strong overbought/oversold edge. Moving Averages: Converging MAs point to consolidation and indecision. Key Levels: Support S1=16.099 (then S2=15.463). Resistance R1=18.158 (then R2=18.794). With price just above pivot, a break below ~17.13 increases odds of retesting 16.10. Quant pattern read-through: Similar pattern stats point to mild negative drift (-0.96% next week; -1.12% next month), not supportive of an urgent long-term buy today. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment (Open Interest): Put/Call OI ratio of 0.25 is bullish positioning (calls outweigh puts), which can signal optimism or hedged call exposure. Activity/Conviction (Volume): Options volume is essentially 0 today and put/call volume ratio is 0.0, so there is little real-time confirmation from traders. Volatility: IV ~103.5% (high) with IV percentile ~69 suggests the market is pricing large moves; that’s not ideal for a beginner long-term entry unless the fundamentals are clearly improving. Net take: Bullish OI skew, but weak/absent volume confirmation and very high IV reduce the reliability of the sentiment read.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

scheduled for 2026-02-06 pre-market could reset expectations if profitability improves.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Fundamentals: 2025/Q3 net income worsened to -28.48M (down -21.03% YoY) and EPS fell to -1.10 (down -21.43% YoY).
Profitability/margins: Gross margin reported at 7.16 with a sharp YoY deterioration (major negative signal on operating quality).
Analyst target vs price: Citi’s Neutral PT is 14, below the current ~17.17, implying Wall Street sees limited upside near term.
Technical: MACD remains below zero; trend is not decisively bullish.
No supportive news flow: No news in the recent week to act as an upside catalyst.
No political/influencer confirmation: No recent congress trading data available.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth: Revenue increased to 143,998,000 (+10.21% YoY), indicating top-line improvement. Earnings quality: Net income declined to -28,482,000 (-21.03% YoY) and EPS declined to -1.10 (-21.43% YoY), showing losses are deepening. Margins: Gross margin was 7.16 with a steep YoY drop, signaling worsening profitability/pressure in the core business. Overall, the quarter shows growth without improving earnings power—unattractive for a long-term entry at today’s price.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent change: On 2025-11-19, Citi raised its price target to $14 from $10 but maintained a Neutral rating. Trend summary: The target was revised upward (less bearish than before), but it remains below the current trading price (~17.17), which effectively caps expected upside in the near term. Wall Street pros vs cons (from provided data): Pros: Upward PT revision suggests conditions may be stabilizing. Cons: Neutral rating + PT below market indicates limited conviction and implied downside from current levels.

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast EAF stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EAF is 16.67 USD with a low forecast of 14 USD and a high forecast of 21 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 17.170

Low

Averages

16.67

High

Current: 17.170

Low

Averages

16.67

High

Citi

Neutral

maintain

$10 -> $14

AI Analysis

2025-11-19

Reason

Citi

Price Target

$10 -> $14

AI Analysis

2025-11-19

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Citi raised the firm's price target on GrafTech to $14 from $10 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

UBS

Andrew Jones

Neutral

downgrade

2025-05-13

Reason

UBS

Andrew Jones

Price Target

2025-05-13

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

UBS analyst Andrew Jones lowered the firm's price target on GrafTech to 80c from $1.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. UBS views GrafTech as well-positioned to benefit from long-term industry tailwinds, though industry and macro headwinds seem likely to weigh on near-term profitability, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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EAF Should I Buy

EAF Should I Buy

Should You Buy GrafTech International Ltd (EAF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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