EAF Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how EAF performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, EAF sees a +11.53% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.98% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -6.90%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
EAF Key Earning Data
EAF Earnings Analysis
Positive
Earnings Surprise Report: GrafTech International Ltd. beats earnings expectations with reported EPS of $-0.13, exceeding expectations of $-0.15.
Sales Volume Growth: Sales volume grew by 2% year-over-year in Q1 2025, with expectations to increase by a low-double-digit percentage for the full year, resulting in cumulative growth of approximately 25% since 2023.
Sales Volume Surge: Increased sales volume in the United States by nearly 25% year-over-year in Q1 2025, significantly boosting market share in this key region.
Cost Structure Improvement: Achieved a 23% year-over-year reduction in cash COGS per metric ton in 2024, with a projected mid-single-digit percentage decline for 2025, indicating improved cost structure.
Strong Liquidity Position: Maintained a strong liquidity position with total liquidity of $421 million, including $214 million in cash, supporting the ability to manage through near-term challenges.
Enhanced Safety Performance: Improved safety performance with a continued reduction in total recordable incident rate, reflecting commitment to employee safety.
Geographical Business Strategy: Strategic initiatives to shift geographical mix of business to regions with higher selling prices, enhancing overall financial performance.
EU Market Recovery Potential: Positive outlook for the EU market with potential recovery driven by infrastructure investments and policy support, positioning GrafTech for future growth.
Negative
Pricing Challenges in Graphite Electrode: Weak demand and excess capacity have led to challenging pricing dynamics, with current graphite electrode pricing deemed unsustainable.
Average Selling Price Decline: The average selling price for the first quarter was $4,100 per metric ton, representing a 20% year-over-year decline, largely due to the completion of higher-priced long-term agreements (LTAs).
Quarterly Financial Decline: Net loss of $39 million or $0.15 per share for the first quarter, with adjusted EBITDA at negative $4 million, indicating a decline from the previous year.
Cash Flow Decline: Cash used in operating activities was $32 million, and adjusted free cash flow was negative $40 million, reflecting a significant increase in cash outflow compared to the previous year.
Production Capacity Underutilization: Production volume was 28,000 tons with a capacity utilization rate of 63%, indicating underutilization of production capacity despite a planned inventory build.
Global Steel Production Decline: Global steel production outside of China was approximately 209 million tons in the first quarter, which was modestly below the first quarter of last year, reflecting a decline in demand.
EU Steel Production Decline: Steel production in the EU decreased 3% year-to-date, remaining well below historical levels, indicating ongoing challenges in the market.
EAF FAQs
How does EAF typically perform around its earnings report dates?
EAF's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +11.53% change leading up to the report and a -1.98% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is GrafTech International Ltd (EAF) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
EAF Earning Call Sentiment
GrafTech International Ltd. (NYSE:EAF) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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