EAF Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how EAF performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, EAF sees a +11.38% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -3.37% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -5.77%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
EAF Key Earning Data
EAF Earnings Analysis
Positive
Sales Volume Surge: Sales volume increased by 13% year-over-year despite flat global steel production and graphite electrode demand.
Cash COGS Reduction Achievement: Achieved a 23% year-over-year reduction in cash COGS per metric ton, exceeding the initial guidance of a 20% decline.
Working Capital Reduction: Reduced working capital levels by $40 million in 2024, building on a $108 million reduction in 2023.
Liquidity Increase and Debt Extension: Ended 2024 with $464 million in liquidity, a $210 million increase from the previous quarter, and extended debt maturities to December 2029.
Strong Sales Commitment: Over 60% of anticipated 2025 sales volume already committed, indicating strong customer engagement and confidence in future growth.
Negative
Financial Struggles Persist: Net loss of $49 million or $0.19 per share in Q4 2024, indicating ongoing financial struggles despite a slight improvement in adjusted EBITDA from negative $22 million in Q4 2023 to negative $7 million.
Net Sales Decline: Net sales decreased by 2% in Q4 2024 compared to Q4 2023, as higher sales volume was offset by lower pricing and a shift in the mix of business from long-term agreements to non-long-term agreements.
Non-LTA Sales Price Decline: Weighted average realized price for non-LTA sales in Q4 2024 declined by 19% year-over-year, reflecting challenging pricing dynamics and contributing to overall revenue pressure.
Decline in Free Cash Flow: Cash used in operating activities was $26 million in Q4 2024, leading to an adjusted free cash flow of negative $21 million, a significant decline from a positive cash flow of approximately $50 million in 2023.
Operational Capacity Underperformance: Production volume in Q4 2024 was only 25,000 metric tons, resulting in a low capacity utilization rate of 55%, highlighting inefficiencies and underperformance in operational capacity.
EAF FAQs
How does EAF typically perform around its earnings report dates?
EAF's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +11.38% change leading up to the report and a -3.37% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is GrafTech International Ltd (EAF) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
EAF Earning Call Sentiment
GrafTech International Ltd. (NYSE:EAF) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
EAF.N
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