EAF Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how EAF performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, EAF sees a +11.38% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -3.37% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -5.77%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
EAF Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
134.22M
-2.13%
2.73%
Gross Margin
-7.78%
-45.78%
-15.80%
Operating Margin
-18.56%
-30.43%
-8.07%
Net Margin
-36.86%
-76.75%
33.50%
EPS
-0.19
-77.65%
35.71%
No Data Available
EAF Earnings Analysis
GrafTech International Ltd Corporation (EAF.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Sales Volume Surge: Sales volume increased by 13% year-over-year despite flat global steel production and graphite electrode demand.
Cash COGS Reduction Achievement: Achieved a 23% year-over-year reduction in cash COGS per metric ton, exceeding the initial guidance of a 20% decline.
Working Capital Reduction: Reduced working capital levels by $40 million in 2024, building on a $108 million reduction in 2023.
Liquidity Increase and Debt Extension: Ended 2024 with $464 million in liquidity, a $210 million increase from the previous quarter, and extended debt maturities to December 2029.
Strong Sales Commitment: Over 60% of anticipated 2025 sales volume already committed, indicating strong customer engagement and confidence in future growth.
Negative
Financial Struggles Persist: Net loss of $49 million or $0.19 per share in Q4 2024, indicating ongoing financial struggles despite a slight improvement in adjusted EBITDA from negative $22 million in Q4 2023 to negative $7 million.
Net Sales Decline: Net sales decreased by 2% in Q4 2024 compared to Q4 2023, as higher sales volume was offset by lower pricing and a shift in the mix of business from long-term agreements to non-long-term agreements.
Non-LTA Sales Price Decline: Weighted average realized price for non-LTA sales in Q4 2024 declined by 19% year-over-year, reflecting challenging pricing dynamics and contributing to overall revenue pressure.
Decline in Free Cash Flow: Cash used in operating activities was $26 million in Q4 2024, leading to an adjusted free cash flow of negative $21 million, a significant decline from a positive cash flow of approximately $50 million in 2023.
Operational Capacity Underperformance: Production volume in Q4 2024 was only 25,000 metric tons, resulting in a low capacity utilization rate of 55%, highlighting inefficiencies and underperformance in operational capacity.
EAF FAQs
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EAF Earning Call Sentiment
GrafTech International Ltd. (NYSE:EAF) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
EAF.N
-3.41%Positive
The earnings call highlighted multiple challenges: competitive pressures, regulatory issues, and a net loss of $49 million. Despite some positive developments like price increases and improved liquidity, the market's flat demand and safety concerns overshadowed these. The Q&A section revealed management's vague responses to tariff impacts, adding uncertainty. While there were some optimistic elements, such as a planned price hike and improved EBITDA, the overall sentiment leans negative due to the broader challenges and uncertainties.
