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CXW Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy CoreCivic Inc (CXW) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
17.720
1 Day change
-1.12%
52 Week Range
23.540
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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CoreCivic Inc (CXW) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the company has demonstrated strong financial growth in the latest quarter, the technical indicators and options data suggest a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the short term. Additionally, there are no significant positive catalysts or trading signals to support an immediate purchase.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating a bullish momentum, but RSI is neutral at 62.391, suggesting no clear overbought or oversold condition. Moving averages are converging, and the stock is trading near its R1 resistance level of 18.391, which could act as a barrier. The stock has a 60% chance of a slight decline (-0.85%) in the next day and a 1.03% increase in the next week, but a potential -1.82% drop in the next month.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate a bullish sentiment in the options market, but the overall volume is very low, limiting the reliability of this data.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 26.01% YoY, net income up 37.68% YoY, and EPS up 44.44% YoY. Gross margin also improved slightly.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • No recent news or significant trading trends from hedge funds or insiders. Congress trading data is unavailable. The stock's short-term trend suggests a potential decline in the next month.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, CoreCivic Inc showed strong financial growth: Revenue increased to $603.95M (up 26.01% YoY), Net Income increased to $26.54M (up 37.68% YoY), and EPS increased to $0.26 (up 44.44% YoY). Gross margin improved slightly to 16.59% (up 1.04% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No recent analyst ratings or price target changes available for evaluation.

Wall Street analysts forecast CXW stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CXW stock price to rise
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 17.920
sliders
Low
28
Averages
30
High
32
Current: 17.920
sliders
Low
28
Averages
30
High
32
Texas Capital
initiated
$28
AI Analysis
2025-06-30
Reason
Texas Capital
Price Target
$28
AI Analysis
2025-06-30
initiated
Reason
Texas Capital initiated coverage of CoreCivic with a Buy rating and $28 price target.
Texas Capital
Raj Sharma
Buy
initiated
$28
2025-06-30
Reason
Texas Capital
Raj Sharma
Price Target
$28
2025-06-30
initiated
Buy
Reason
As previously reported, Texas Capital analyst Raj Sharma initiated coverage of CoreCivic (CXW) with a Buy rating and $28 price target. Private prisons currently contain less than 8% of the country's prison population, with CoreCivic being the largest owner/operator in the U.S. and largest private-owner of correctional real estate utilized by government agencies in the U.S., the analyst tells investors. While both CoreCivic and peer Geo Group (GEO) are "attractive investments," the investment case for for the former centers on deployment of currently idle incremental prison facilities, as well as potentially winning incremental monitoring and supervision contracts over the next 12 to 24 months, the analyst says. CoreCivic currently has eight idle facilities that could be reopened under "favorable contract terms," the analyst added.
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