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CXW Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of CoreCivic Inc(CXW) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of CoreCivic Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-05After Hours0.470.48+2.13544.38M580.44M+6.62-9.92-7.56
-2025-08-06After Hours0.430.59+37.21499.02M538.17M+7.84+2.04+5.61
FY2025Q12025-05-07After Hours0.350.45+28.57478.49M488.63M+2.12-2.57-3.89
FY2024Q42025-02-10After Hours0.330.39+18.18465.17M479.29M+3.04-4.25+1.86
FY2024Q22024-08-07After Hours0.370.42+13.51481.87M490.11M+1.71+3.34+5.14
FY2024Q12024-05-08-0.370.46+24.32477.93M500.69M+4.76+0.33-1.05
FY2023Q42024-02-07-0.400.45+12.50489.63M491.25M+0.33+0.21+1.49
FY2023Q32023-11-06-0.340.35+2.94474.76M483.71M+1.88+0.90+2.48
-2023-05-03-0.350.34-2.86----1.61+9.69
-2023-02-08-0.330.42+27.27----1.08+6.87
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CXW Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, CoreCivic Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of 0.48, compared to analyst estimates of 0.47 by 2.13% . Revenue for the quarter reached 580.44M compared to expectations of 544.38M by 6.62% .
The stock price reacted with a -9.92% one-day change and a -7.56% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in CoreCivic Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

CXW Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, CoreCivic Inc(CXW) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 585.12M and an EPS of 0.20.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 2.31%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -7.02%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 6.22% . These revisions correlate with a -5.39% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in CoreCivic Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between CXW's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+2.31%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-7.02%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+6.22%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-5.39%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.17B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.06
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Stock Price18.61
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CXW Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

CoreCivic Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-05,After Hours):
EPS: 0.48 (Actual) vs.0.47 (Estimate) (2.13%)
Revenue: 580.44M (Actual) vs. 544.38M (Estimate) (6.62%)
Price Reaction: -9.92%(1-Day), -7.56%(5-Day)
(2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.59 (Actual) vs.0.43 (Estimate) (37.21%)
Revenue: 538.17M (Actual) vs. 499.02M (Estimate) (7.84%)
Price Reaction: 2.04%(1-Day), 5.61%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,After Hours):
EPS: 0.45 (Actual) vs.0.35 (Estimate) (28.57%)
Revenue: 488.63M (Actual) vs. 478.49M (Estimate) (2.12%)
Price Reaction: -2.57%(1-Day), -3.89%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how CXW performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CXW sees a +3.02% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.23% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.18%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -9.92% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -10.09% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

CoreCivic Inc (CXW) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-07
The earnings call summary shows strong revenue growth, increased occupancy, and multiple facility activations, supported by significant government funding. The Q&A section highlights positive hiring conditions, strong capital allocation strategies, and optimistic guidance for future revenue and EBITDA growth. Despite some uncertainties in legal matters and vague management responses, the overall sentiment is positive, with favorable financial metrics and strategic initiatives likely to boost the stock price.
CoreCivic Inc (CXW) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-11
The earnings call highlights several positive aspects: strong financial guidance, increased demand for CoreCivic's services, and potential for significant revenue growth from activating idle facilities. The Q&A session reveals high confidence in resolving legal issues and meeting demand shifts, although some management responses were unclear. Overall, the anticipation of new contracts, strategic investments in transportation, and the potential for substantial revenue from idle beds contribute to a positive outlook. Given the company's market cap, a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% is likely over the next two weeks.
CoreCivic Inc (CXW) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-08
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: positive financial results with revenue growth and exceeding analyst estimates, but there are concerns about operational risks, supply chain challenges, and reliance on short-term contracts. The share repurchase program is a positive signal, but the lack of long-term contract stability with ICE and unclear management responses in the Q&A section temper the overall sentiment. Given the company's market cap and the balance of positive and negative factors, the stock price reaction is likely to remain neutral in the short term.
CoreCivic Inc (CXW) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-08
The earnings report showed strong financial performance with revenue and net income exceeding expectations, and a successful share repurchase program. The Q&A revealed management's optimism about future opportunities, though some uncertainty remains regarding facility activations and revenue from ICE contracts. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, so a positive prediction is appropriate.
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-07
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with revenue and margin growth, supported by increased occupancy and new contracts. Despite the termination of the South Texas contract, the company maintains a positive outlook with increased shareholder returns and reduced debt. The Q&A session highlighted potential growth from increased occupancy and flexibility in contracting, though some uncertainties remain. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity, leading to a positive stock price prediction, especially with the strong financial metrics and strategic initiatives in place.
CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-08
CoreCivic's earnings call presents a positive outlook with strong revenue growth, improved margins, and increased shareholder returns through share repurchases. The Q&A reveals management's confidence in navigating budget constraints and potential contract expansions. Despite some uncertainties, the optimistic guidance and strategic initiatives, such as debt refinancing and a significant share repurchase program, suggest a favorable stock price movement. Given the company's market cap of approximately $1.36 billion, the stock is likely to experience a positive reaction, potentially within the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of CXW’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

CXW reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 580.44M against an estimate of 544.38M, resulting in a 6.62% surprise. The EPS was 0.48, surpassing the expected 0.47 by 2.13% . The stock experienced a -9.92% price change on the earnings day and a -7.56% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did CXW’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following CXW’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by -9.92% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -7.56% change. Historically, CXW’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +3.02% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.23% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for CXW for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate CXW’s annual revenue to reach 585.12M, while the EPS is projected at 0.20. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 2.31% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 6.22% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does CXW’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between CXW’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 2.31%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 6.22% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from CXW’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, CXW’s stock price typically moves by +3.02% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.23% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.20 and revenue of 585.12M.
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What is the sentiment in CoreCivic Inc (CXW) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary shows strong revenue growth, increased occupancy, and multiple facility activations, supported by significant government funding. The Q&A section highlights positive hiring conditions, strong capital allocation strategies, and optimistic guidance for future revenue and EBITDA growth. Despite some uncertainties in legal matters and vague management responses, the overall sentiment is positive, with favorable financial metrics and strategic initiatives likely to boost the stock price.
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