CSAN Valuation

Cosan SA

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4.050

+0.02(0.496%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

CSAN Relative Valuation

CSAN's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, CSAN is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Cosan SA (CSAN) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.06 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 10.06. The fair price of Cosan SA (CSAN) is between 27.87 to 38.55 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 4.05 USD , Cosan SA is Undervalued By 85.47%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

27.87-38.55

Current Price：4.05

85.47%

Undervalued

27.43

Trailing

Forward

2.30

EV/EBITDA

Cosan SA. (CSAN) has a current EV/EBITDA of 2.30. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 4.79. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.78, Undervalued between 2.78 and 3.79, Fairly Valued between 5.80 and 3.79, Overvalued between 5.80 and 6.80, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.80. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 2.30 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

3.75

EV/EBIT

Cosan SA. (CSAN) has a current EV/EBIT of 3.75. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 7.66. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.18, Undervalued between 4.18 and 5.92, Fairly Valued between 9.40 and 5.92, Overvalued between 9.40 and 11.14, and Strongly Overvalued above 11.14. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 3.75 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.06

Cosan SA. (CSAN) has a current PS of 0.06. The 5-year average PS is 0.23. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.03, Undervalued between 0.03 and 0.13, Fairly Valued between 0.33 and 0.13, Overvalued between 0.33 and 0.43, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.43. The current Forward PS of 0.06 falls within the Undervalued range.

0.92

P/OCF

Cosan SA. (CSAN) has a current P/OCF of 0.92. The 5-year average P/OCF is 3.04. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.13, Undervalued between -0.13 and 1.45, Fairly Valued between 4.62 and 1.45, Overvalued between 4.62 and 6.20, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.20. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.92 falls within the Undervalued range.

-1.75

P/FCF

Cosan SA. (CSAN) has a current P/FCF of -1.75. The 5-year average P/FCF is 23.56. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -60.45, Undervalued between -60.45 and -18.45, Fairly Valued between 65.57 and -18.45, Overvalued between 65.57 and 107.58, and Strongly Overvalued above 107.58. The current Forward P/FCF of -1.75 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Cosan SA (CSAN) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.31. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.90 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -83.77% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.38, the current P/B ratio is about -87.09% higher. Cosan SA (CSAN) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 46.80%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 20.04%, the current FCF yield is approximately 133.60% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 13.57% , the current FCF yield is about 244.86% lower.

0.31

P/B

Median3y

1.90

Median5y

2.38

46.80

FCF Yield

Median3y

20.04

Median5y

13.57

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for CSAN's competitors is 1.36, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Cosan SA Corp (CSAN) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.06, which is -95.57% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -2.02%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Brookfield Infrastructure Corp

Southwest Gas Holdings Inc

New Jersey Resources Corp

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of CSAN decreased by 57.37% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Revenue Growth from 10.69B to 10.48B.

The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed -15.11%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of CSAN in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

-2.02%

10.69B → 10.48B

Revenue Growth

-40.24%

-9.07 → -5.42

Margin Expansion

-15.11%

-1.00 → -0.85

P/E Change

-57.37%