Should I Buy Cerence Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. CRNC has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
CRNC stock price ended at $8.78 on Monday, after losing -7.68%
The Cerence Inc stock price decreased by -7.68% on the last trading day (19 May 2025), dropping from 9.06 to 8.78. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.84% , ranging from a day low of $8.72 to a day high of 9.1417. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -12.72% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 600.47K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.15M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 10.26M.
CRNC Technical Signals
CRNC(Cerence Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-30. The total price change during this trend is +4.97%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of CRNC over the last 5 trading days is 11.63M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
CRNC Moving Average Analysis
Cerence Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 20, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $10.731489999999999, and $11.421. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $8.50051, and $7.811. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
CRNC Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Cerence Inc(CRNC) as of 12 May 2025 is 11.11%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 9.29 to 9.91. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
1
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
1.28
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.249
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 60-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
1 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.14
Bearish
CRNC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Cerence Inc(CRNC), our algorithm predicts CRNC's 1-month price at $9.45, with an -0.68%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.93%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Cerence Inc (CRNC.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -0.68% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with HOPE.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.93%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
CRNC
No Data
HOPE
Down: -0.68%Similarity: 96.93%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
HOPE.O
96.93%
-0.68%
QTWO.N
96.69%
+0.89%
UBS.N
96.52%
+2.28%
HOLX.O
96.49%
-0.89%
BNED.N
96.40%
+1.06%
IMXI.O
96.39%
-0.20%
ANDE.O
96.18%
+8.90%
HRI.N
96.17%
-1.98%
ALKS.O
96.17%
+5.81%
CRNC Seasonality Analysis
Based on CRNC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is66.67%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in CRNC. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at83.33%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Cerence Inc (CRNC.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while September has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Cerence Inc. (CRNC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Cerence Inc (CRNC.O) stock?
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