Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent analyst updates, here's a comprehensive analysis of CQP stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $62.23 in a consolidation pattern between $48-50 support and $63-65 resistance levels. The recent price action shows moderate upward momentum with decreasing volatility.

Recent Analyst Actions

• Stifel recently downgraded CQP to Sell from Hold with a price target of $51, citing that too much optimism about Sabine Pass expansion is already priced in
• RBC Capital maintains a Hold rating with a $65 price target
• Current analyst consensus is Moderate Sell with an average price target of $56.11

Fundamental Factors

• Strong revenue growth: FY2023 revenue at $9.66B
• Impressive profitability metrics:
  • Net income increased significantly from $1.58B (2022) to $3.36B (2023)
  • Gross margin improved from 20.21% to 53.21%
  • Net margin expanded from 14.52% to 44.02%

Key Considerations

• The Sabine Pass Stage 5 expansion won't be operational until 2030 or later
• Current valuation appears stretched relative to near-term catalysts
• Strong dividend yield provides downside support

Recommendation SELL. While CQP has strong fundamentals, the current price level around $62 appears to have priced in much of the positive expansion news. With major catalysts still years away and recent analyst downgrades, there's limited upside potential in the near term.

Based on the provided data and context, I'll analyze CQP's price prediction for 2025:

Technical Analysis

The current technical indicators show:

• RSI-14 at 52.45 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD shows bullish divergence with MACD (0.86) above signal line (1.19)
• Stock is trading between the 20-day SMA ($62.35) and 60-day SMA ($58.55)
• Bollinger Bands show price at 46% of the range, suggesting moderate volatility

Fundamental Factors

According to recent analyst coverage:

• RBC Capital maintained Hold rating with $65 price target
• Morgan Stanley maintained Hold with $71 price target
• Consensus shows Moderate Sell rating with average target of $56.11

Key valuation metrics:

• Forward P/E: 12.48x (2024/FY)
• EV/EBITDA: 10.26x (2024/FY)
• Dividend Yield: 6.52% projected for 2024

Price Target Analysis

Based on technical and fundamental factors, here are the 2025 scenarios:

Bullish Case ($68-72):

• Probability: 35%
• Drivers: Strong LNG demand growth, dividend stability
• Technical resistance at $66.86 (Fibonacci R3)

Base Case ($58-65):

• Probability: 45%
• Consolidation between support at $60.38 (Fibonacci S1) and resistance at $63.96 (Fibonacci R1)
• Aligned with analyst targets

Bearish Case ($52-57):

• Probability: 20%
• Support at $57.48 (Fibonacci S3)
• Risk factors: LNG price volatility, interest rate impacts

Most likely scenario: Base case with price ranging $58-65, supported by:

• Current neutral technical indicators
• Analyst consensus targets
• Stable dividend yield providing price support

The S1 support level for CQP Stock is $60.61 ,The R1 resistant level for CQP Stock is $66.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-28, the price of CQP Stock was $66.07.

The target price for CQP Stock according to analyst rating is 55.60, with the highest price target at 71.00 and the lowest at 45.00. Analysts have a Moderate Sell rating on CQP Stock overall.

The market cap of CQP is $32.0B.

Based on the recent data and analyst views, CQP appears fairly valued to slightly overvalued at current levels. Here's why:

Valuation Metrics Show Mixed Signals

• P/E ratio decreased significantly from 17.39 (2022) to 7.17 (2023), indicating improved earnings efficiency
• EV/EBITDA declined from 10.67 to 6.91, suggesting better operational value
• P/S ratio increased from 1.60 to 2.49, showing higher revenue premium
• Dividend yield improved from 6.82% to 8.36%, offering attractive income

Recent Analyst Actions

• Stifel recently downgraded CQP to Sell with $51 price target, citing overvaluation concerns
• RBC Capital maintained Hold rating with $65 price target
• Current analyst consensus is Moderate Sell with average price target of $56.11

Technical Indicators Point to Neutral-Bearish

• Trading at $62.23, near resistance level of $63.96
• RSI-14 at 52.45 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD showing bearish divergence with -0.33 histogram
• Price trading above all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200-day)

Key Risks

• Sabine Pass Stage 5 expansion won't be operational until 2030 or later
• Current price appears to have priced in expansion benefits prematurely
• Market may be overestimating near-term growth potential

The stock appears overvalued considering the long timeline for growth initiatives and current technical indicators suggesting limited upside potential.

Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. is a limited partnership formed by Cheniere Energy, Inc (Cheniere). The Company provides liquefied natural gas (LNG) to integrated energy companies, utilities, and energy trading companies. The Company owns the natural gas liquefaction and export facility located at Sabine Pass, Louisiana (the Sabine Pass LNG Terminal) with six operational trains. In addition to natural gas liquefaction facilities at the Sabine Pass LNG Terminal (the Liquefaction Project), the Sabine Pass LNG Terminal also has operational regasification facilities and a pipeline that interconnects the Sabine Pass LNG Terminal with a number of large interstate and intrastate pipelines. The Company has a total production capacity of approximately 30 million tons per annum (MTPA) of LNG. The Company also owns the Creole Trail Pipeline, which interconnects the Sabine Pass LNG terminal.

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here's a projection for CQP stock price in 2030:

Cheniere Energy Partners (CQP) stock is projected to reach $95-100 by 2030, representing a ~55% upside from current levels of $62.23. This forecast is supported by the company's strong financial fundamentals with $8.7B revenue, 39% gross margin, and 28.8% net margin, combined with growing LNG export demand. The company's strategic position in LNG infrastructure and consistent dividend yield of 6.52% suggests sustained long-term growth potential.

CQP has a total of 1605 employees.