Based on the recent trading data and financial performance, here's a concise analysis of CHT stock:
Technical Analysis
The stock is showing a neutral-to-bearish trend in the short term, with the price hovering around $38.52. Key technical indicators show:
- RSI (14) at 53.72 indicating neutral momentum
- MACD showing weak bullish momentum with 0.14
- Stock trading between Bollinger Bands (20,3) with BBP at 0.48, suggesting neutral volatility
Fundamental Analysis
Recent Q4 2024 results:
- Revenue increased 5.6% to NT$65.35 billion
- EBITDA grew 5.9% to NT$21.59 billion
- EPS of NT$1.16, up from NT$1.06 year-over-year
Forward Outlook
For fiscal 2025:
- Revenue growth projected at 1.2% to 1.6%
- Net income guidance between NT$35.84-37.39 billion
- EPS guidance of NT$4.62-4.82
Recommendation: HOLD
The stock appears fairly valued at current levels. While showing stable financial performance and dividend potential, the modest growth outlook and current technical indicators suggest limited near-term upside. The company's strong market position in Taiwan and steady financial metrics make it suitable for income-focused investors.