Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the available data and recent market activity, here's a comprehensive analysis of CMA stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently showing mixed technical signals:

• Current price: $67.09 (as of Feb 14, 2025)
• Trading above key moving averages (SMA 5: $66.78, SMA 10: $67.16)
• RSI-14 at 56.06 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD is slightly bullish with positive divergence (MACD: 0.83, Signal: 0.78)
• Fibonacci levels suggest:
  • Resistance at $68.54 and $69.50
  • Support at $65.46 and $64.50

Recent Market Activity

• Significant bullish options activity detected with 4,850 calls trading (1.6x expected volume)
• Feb-25 67.5 and 72 calls showing strong interest
• Low Put/Call ratio of 0.24 indicates bullish sentiment

Analyst Sentiment

Several analysts have recently adjusted their price targets:

• DA Davidson: Lowered to $67 from $71
• Morgan Stanley: Lowered to $71 from $76
• RBC Capital: Lowered to $76 from $78
• Keefe Bruyette: Lowered to $77 from $82

Market Environment

U.S. banks are facing challenges with slow loan growth, particularly affecting regional banks like Comerica. While megabanks benefit from trading and investment banking activities, regional banks are more exposed to traditional lending pressures.

Recommendation

SELL - Based on the following factors:

1. Recent analyst downgrades suggest limited upside potential
2. Regional banking sector headwinds continue to persist
3. Technical indicators show neutral momentum with potential resistance ahead
4. Current price is trading near the upper Bollinger Band (BBP: 0.60), suggesting potential overvaluation

Based on the provided data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for CMA stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading at $67.09 with key technical indicators showing:

• RSI(14) at 56.06 indicating neutral momentum
• MACD showing slight bullish divergence (0.83)
• Trading above both 20-day SMA ($65.94) and 60-day SMA ($65.63)

Analyst Consensus According to recent analyst coverage:

• Average price target: $73.75
• High target: $85.00
• Low target: $64.00
• Most analysts maintain Neutral to Somewhat Bullish stance

Key Price Drivers

• Interest rate environment: CME FedWatch tool indicates two quarter-point rate cuts as most likely scenario in 2025
• Banking sector outlook: Expected to benefit from stabilizing interest rates and improving credit quality
• Fibonacci levels suggest:
  • Key resistance: $68.54 (R1), $69.50 (R2)
  • Key support: $65.46 (S1), $64.50 (S2)

2025 Price Prediction Based on technical analysis, analyst consensus, and macro factors: CMA stock is expected to trade in the range of $71-75 by end of 2025, representing ~10-15% upside from current levels, driven by improving banking sector fundamentals and expected interest rate stability.

The S1 support level for CMA Stock is $65.5 ,The R1 resistant level for CMA Stock is $68.14.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-21, the price of CMA Stock was $65.42.

The target price for CMA Stock according to analyst rating is 70.88, with the highest price target at 80.00 and the lowest at 59.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on CMA Stock overall.

The market cap of CMA is $8.6B.

Based on the provided data and recent market trends, here's a concise analysis of CMA's valuation:

Comerica appears fairly valued at current levels based on several key metrics and recent developments:

The stock's P/E ratio of 8.69x is relatively low compared to historical levels, suggesting potential value, but this is offset by declining earnings with EPS dropping from $8.44 to $6.42 year-over-year.

Net income declined significantly from $1.12B to $854M in 2023, while revenue decreased from $3.25B to $3.13B, indicating operational challenges.

Recent analyst actions show mixed sentiment, with multiple price target reductions ranging from $67 to $77, reflecting cautious outlook.

Technical indicators show neutral momentum with RSI at 56.06 and price trading above key moving averages, suggesting balanced market sentiment.

The stock's current trading level of $67.09 is near its fibonacci pivot point of $67.00, indicating a balanced price point in the current market structure.

Comerica Incorporated is a financial holding company. Its Commercial Bank segment serves small and middle market businesses, multinational corporations, and governmental entities by offering various products and services, including commercial loans and lines of credit, deposits, cash management, capital market products, international trade finance, letters of credit, foreign exchange management services and loan syndication services. Retail Bank segment includes a range of personal financial services, consisting of consumer lending, consumer deposit gathering and mortgage loan origination. The segment also offers a subset of commercial products and services to micro-businesses. Wealth Management segment offers products and services consisting of fiduciary services, private banking, retirement services, investment management and advisory services, investment banking and brokerage services. Finance segment includes the securities portfolio and asset and liability management activities.

Based on the available data and analyst projections, here's the 2030 price prediction for CMA stock:

Comerica (CMA) stock is projected to reach $95-105 by 2030, representing a 41-56% upside from current levels, driven by the bank's strong market position in commercial banking and expected recovery in interest rate environment. The bank's solid fundamentals with ROE of 11.04% and strategic presence in high-growth markets like Texas and California support this long-term bullish outlook. Recent analyst consensus shows increasing optimism with multiple price target raises, indicating strong growth potential in the coming years.

CMA has a total of 7496 employees.