CIB Should I Buy
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Grupo Cibest SA (CIB) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon at this time. The stock is currently facing negative price momentum, a lack of strong positive catalysts, and mixed sentiment from analysts. While the company's financial performance in the latest quarter is strong, the broader market sentiment, technical indicators, and analyst downgrades suggest a more cautious approach is warranted. Holding off on buying until clearer positive signals emerge would be prudent.
The stock's MACD is negative and expanding downward, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 34.819, which is neutral but nearing oversold territory. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its S1 support level of 76.619, with resistance at 79.847. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a bearish to neutral trend.
Strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with revenue up 6.35% YoY, net income up 45.83% YoY, and EPS up 180% YoY. The company's earnings report on February 19, 2026, could provide further insights into its performance.
Recent analyst downgrades from Citi and Grupo Santander, citing a more balanced risk-reward environment and regulatory headwinds. The broader market is also down, with the S&P 500 falling 1.54%. Technical indicators show bearish momentum, and the stock's short-term trend suggests a potential decline in the next week.
In Q3 2025, Grupo Cibest reported strong growth, with revenue increasing by 6.35% YoY to $1.79 billion, net income rising by 45.83% YoY to $286 million, and EPS surging by 180% YoY to 0.56. However, gross margin remained unchanged at 0%.
Recent analyst actions include a downgrade by Citi to Neutral with a COP 70,000 price target, citing a balanced risk-reward environment and regulatory challenges. Grupo Santander downgraded the stock to Underperform with a $61 price target, while JPMorgan raised its price target to $65 but maintained a Neutral rating. Overall, sentiment from analysts is cautious to negative.
