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The earnings call highlights record-high revenue and EPS, strong growth in mobile and broadband services, and successful expansion in international markets. Despite some declines in specific segments and non-committal responses in the Q&A, the overall financial performance and optimistic guidance on AI initiatives and market expansion suggest a positive outlook. The lack of market cap information limits the prediction's precision, but the strong financial results and strategic growth plans indicate a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Full Year Revenue Reached an all-time high, demonstrating focus on core businesses and ICT sector expansion.
Full Year EPS TWD 4.99, marking an 8-year high, with annual growth momentum for the sixth consecutive year.
Mobile Revenue Market Share Climbed to 41%, driven by postpaid subscriber growth.
5G Subscriber Market Share Increased to 39.2%, with a 46.4% penetration rate among smartphone users and a 41% average monthly fee uplift from 5G migration.
Mobile Service Revenue Growth (Q4) Achieved a record high of 4.7% year-over-year.
Postpaid ARPU Growth (Q4) Grew 3.6% year-over-year.
Fixed Broadband ARPU (Q4) Reached TWD 819 per month, a 3.8% revenue increase and 0.5% subscriber increase year-over-year.
Multiple-Play Packages (Q4) Increased by 17% year-over-year, marking the 16th consecutive quarter of expansion.
Hami Video Service ARPU (Q4) Increased by more than 25% year-over-year.
Consumer Cybersecurity Subscription Revenue (Q4) Recorded 11% year-over-year growth with double-digit revenue gains.
ICT Revenue (Q4) Declined by 6% year-over-year due to a higher comparison base, though full-year ICT revenue showed robust growth.
Recurring ICT Revenue (Q4) Grew 15% year-over-year, supported by AIoT, IDC, and international public cloud services.
IDC Revenue (Q4) Grew by 19% year-over-year, benefiting from project completion in Mexico.
Big Data Service Revenue (Q4) Increased by 3% year-over-year, driven by recurring revenue growth.
5G Private Network Revenue (Q4) Surged by 88% year-over-year, supported by project revenue recognition.
Cloud Service Revenue (Q4) Declined by 16% year-over-year due to a high base last year.
Cybersecurity Service Revenue (Q4) Decreased by 16% year-over-year, with most revenue recognized in the first three quarters.
International Subsidiaries Revenue (Q4) Decreased by 7% year-over-year, mainly due to softened demand for voice services and a higher comparison base in the U.S. and Japan.
Southeast Asia Market Revenue (Q4) Increased by 12% year-over-year, driven by construction projects in Singapore and Thailand.
CBG Revenue (Q4) Grew by 6% year-over-year, supported by mobile and fixed broadband services and iPhone demand.
EBG Revenue (Q4) Decreased by 7.9% year-over-year, with a 7% drop in ICT revenue.
IBG Revenue (Q4) Grew by 2.5% year-over-year, driven by international IDC services and stronger roaming revenue.
Consolidated Revenue (Q4) TWD 65.65 billion, a 0.5% year-over-year increase, marking the highest fourth-quarter revenue in nearly a decade.
Income from Operations (Q4) Decreased by 2.2% year-over-year due to one-off impairment losses and a high comparative base.
Income Before Tax (Q4) Increased by 2.1% year-over-year, driven by investment disposal gains.
EPS (Q4) Increased from TWD 1.16 to TWD 1.20, the highest fourth-quarter EPS in 10 years.
EBITDA (Q4) Remained stable at TWD 21.55 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 32.82%.
Full Year Total Revenue TWD 236.11 billion, a 2.7% increase compared to 2024.
Full Year Income from Operations Grew by 3.6% year-over-year.
Full Year Net Income Rose by 4% year-over-year.
Full Year EBITDA Grew by 2.6% year-over-year to TWD 88.77 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 37.6%.
Free Cash Flow (2025) TWD 49.8 billion, a marginal decrease of 1.4% year-over-year.
Satellite services: Commenced operation with OneWeb and SES satellites in 2025, with Astranis satellite joining in 2026 to enhance multilayer satellite capability.
AI edge computing: Introduced into AIDC to create new revenue streams.
AIoT, satellite, and big data services: Expected combined revenue to surpass TWD 10 billion in 2026.
AI customer service solution: Secured a project to build the first integrated AI customer services system for a leading financial institution in Taiwan.
Taiwan mobile market: Solidified leadership with record highs in mobile revenue market share (41%) and subscriber market share (39.7%).
Southeast Asia market: Revenue increased by 12% year-over-year due to completed projects in Singapore and Thailand. Malaysia subsidiary commenced operations in December 2025.
U.S. market: Secured AI supply chain projects in Texas and California, expected to boost performance in 2026.
5G performance: Subscriber market share increased to 39.2%, with 5G penetration among smartphone users at 46.4% and a 41% uplift in average monthly fees from 5G migration.
Fixed broadband: ARPU reached TWD 819 per month, a 3.8% revenue increase year-over-year, driven by high-speed upgrade promotions.
Consumer cybersecurity subscription: Recorded 11% year-over-year growth with double-digit revenue gains.
ICT recurring revenue: Grew 15% year-over-year, with notable increases in IDC (19%), Big Data (3%), and 5G private network (88%).
Renewable energy commitment: Secured 4.6 billion kilowatt hours of renewable energy through a 20-year Corporate Power Purchase Agreement to support 2045 net zero commitment.
Submarine cables: Completed SJC2 and first phase of Apricot, boosting international fixed line services revenue by 2.2% year-over-year.
Sea, land, and sky strategy: Expanded satellite services into government procurement frameworks, paving the way for long-term contracts.
ICT Revenue Decline: The company's ICT revenue declined by 6% year-over-year in Q4 2025 due to a higher comparison base from the same period last year. This indicates potential challenges in maintaining growth in this segment.
Cloud and AIDC Revenue Decline: Revenue from cloud and AIDC business declined by 16% and 27% year-over-year, respectively, in Q4 2025. This reflects challenges in sustaining growth in these areas, which are critical for the company's ICT portfolio.
Cybersecurity Revenue Fluctuation: Cybersecurity service revenue decreased by 16% year-over-year in Q4 2025 due to the majority of revenue being recognized in earlier quarters. This highlights potential volatility in revenue recognition for this segment.
International Subsidiaries Revenue Decline: Revenue from international subsidiaries decreased by 7% year-over-year in Q4 2025, driven by softened demand for voice services and a higher comparison base in the U.S. and Japan ICT markets. This indicates challenges in maintaining international market growth.
3G Network Impairment: The final phase of 3G telecom equipment impairment negatively impacted income before tax in Q4 2025. This one-off impairment reflects challenges in transitioning from legacy systems.
Higher Operating Costs and Expenses: Operating costs and expenses are expected to increase by 3.5% to 3.7% year-over-year in 2026 due to investments in talent and infrastructure. This could pressure profitability if revenue growth does not offset these costs.
CapEx Increase in Non-Mobile Areas: Non-mobile related CapEx is expected to increase by 24% in 2026, driven by investments in submarine cables, IDC data centers, and infrastructure upgrades. While strategic, this could strain financial resources if returns are not realized as planned.
Telecom Business Outlook: Chunghwa Telecom expects Taiwan's mobile market to remain stable and favorable in 2026. The company plans to extend its fixed broadband strategy to enhance ARPU further.
ICT Business Growth: The company anticipates growth in its ICT business, particularly in satellite services, AIoT, and big data services. Revenue from these areas is expected to surpass TWD 10 billion in 2026. The Astranis satellite will join operations in the second half of 2026 to enhance satellite capabilities.
AI Integration: Chunghwa Telecom plans to integrate AI into its service offerings, assisting customers in operational processes, legal compliance, and infrastructure management. AI edge computing will be introduced into AIDC to create new revenue streams.
Consumer Services: The company expects revenue growth in consumer services through partnerships with Disney+ and Netflix, as well as upcoming sporting events like the FIFA World Cup and Asia Games.
International Market Expansion: Chunghwa Telecom projects growth in Southeast Asia and the U.S. markets in 2026, supported by new operations in Malaysia and AI supply chain projects in Texas and California.
Financial Guidance for 2026: Total revenue is expected to grow by 2.5% to 3.2% year-over-year. EPS is projected to range between TWD 4.82 and TWD 5.02. Capital expenditures are budgeted at TWD 31.91 billion, with a focus on submarine cables, IDC data centers, and infrastructure upgrades.
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The earnings call highlights record-high revenue and EPS, strong growth in mobile and broadband services, and successful expansion in international markets. Despite some declines in specific segments and non-committal responses in the Q&A, the overall financial performance and optimistic guidance on AI initiatives and market expansion suggest a positive outlook. The lack of market cap information limits the prediction's precision, but the strong financial results and strategic growth plans indicate a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with record high revenue, increased income, and EPS. The positive growth in ICT, cybersecurity, and international projects signals robust business expansion. The Q&A section highlights strategic international projects, enhancing future prospects. Despite risks, the overall sentiment is positive, bolstered by optimistic guidance and no negative surprises in management responses.
Chunghwa Telecom reported strong revenue growth, record high revenue, and increased free cash flow, which are positive indicators. However, slight declines in income from operations and net income, coupled with competitive pressures and higher operational costs, offset these positives. The lack of clarity in management's responses during the Q&A session and regulatory challenges further contribute to uncertainty. The overall sentiment is balanced by the company's solid financial position and strategic initiatives, leading to a neutral outlook for stock price movement.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: record-high revenue and increased free cash flow are positive, but declining income from operations and net income, along with competitive and regulatory pressures, offset these gains. The Q&A reveals a cautious approach to M&A and a lack of specific details, which may concern investors. While the company maintains a positive outlook for CBG and EBG, the lack of strong guidance and sector-specific risks result in a neutral sentiment. The absence of market cap data prevents market cap-related adjustments.
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