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CH Robinson Worldwide Inc (CHRW) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. Despite positive analyst sentiment and productivity gains, the stock is currently oversold with a significant recent price drop and negative financial performance trends. The lack of strong proprietary trading signals and the presence of insider selling further suggest caution.
The stock is oversold as indicated by the RSI (15.274), and the MACD histogram is negative (-2.03), signaling bearish momentum. However, moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), suggesting potential for recovery. Key support is at 161.978, and resistance is at 203.219.

Analysts have raised price targets significantly, with many maintaining Buy or Outperform ratings. The company has shown productivity gains and margin expansion in its North American Surface Transportation segment despite a weak freight environment.
The stock experienced a sharp regular market drop (-14.54%) and is facing concerns over AI's impact on freight inefficiencies. Insiders are selling heavily, with a 1551.76% increase in selling activity over the last month. Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed declines in revenue (-6.50%), net income (-8.70%), and EPS (-8.20%).
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $3.91 billion (-6.50% YoY), net income fell to $136.32 million (-8.70% YoY), and EPS declined to 1.12 (-8.20% YoY). However, gross margin increased to 16.79% (+2.63% YoY).
Analysts are generally positive, with many raising price targets (e.g., Citi to $202, Susquehanna to $220, Evercore ISI to $219). Positive ratings cite productivity gains, market share growth, and margin improvements. However, Morgan Stanley remains bearish with an Underweight rating and a $90 price target, citing concerns over AI initiatives and cycle pressures.