The chart below shows how CHRW performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CHRW sees a -1.08% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.91% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.17%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Q4 Income Surge: Significant year-over-year improvement in Q4 financial results, with a 79% increase in adjusted income from operations.
Global Forwarding Growth: Global Forwarding business achieved over 5% growth in ocean and air shipments for the full year, demonstrating strong productivity despite market challenges.
Gross Margin Improvement: NAST gross margin improved by 170 basis points year-over-year, supported by disciplined pricing and cost management strategies.
AGP Year-over-Year Increase: Total company AGP increased by $66 million or 10.7% year-over-year, driven by a 25.6% increase in Global Forwarding and a 6.2% increase in NAST.
Operating Expenses Reduction: Operating expenses declined by $15.3 million year-over-year, reflecting continued productivity and cost optimization efforts.
Negative
Freight Shipment Decline: The CAS Freight Shipment Index in Q4 was down 3.2% year over year and down 4.8% sequentially, marking the lowest Q4 reading the industry has seen in the last 15 years.
Freight Market Challenges: Total NAST volume declined approximately 1% year over year, with a significant 6.5% decrease in truckload volume, indicating ongoing challenges in the freight market.
Personnel Expense Reduction: Q4 personnel expenses were $354.4 million, including $3.7 million of restructuring charges related to workforce reductions, reflecting a 9.5% decrease in average headcount compared to Q4 of last year.
Tax Rate Analysis: The effective tax rate for the quarter was 12.4%, with a full year tax rate of 18.7%, indicating potential tax pressures moving forward.
Projected SG&A Expenses: The company expects 2025 SG&A expenses to be between $575 million to $625 million, which includes inflationary pressures despite anticipated cost improvements.
Earnings call transcript: CH Robinson Q4 2024 earnings beat forecasts but stock drops
CHRW.O
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