CGAU Valuation

Centerra Gold Inc

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8.170

+0.34(4.342%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

CGAU Relative Valuation

CGAU's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, CGAU is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 1.24 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 10.77. The fair price of Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU) is between 41.92 to 49.11 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 7.83 USD , Centerra Gold Inc is Undervalued By 81.32%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

41.92-49.11

Current Price：7.83

81.32%

Undervalued

9.06

Trailing

Forward

2.31

EV/EBITDA

Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) has a current EV/EBITDA of 2.31. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 3.63. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.96, Undervalued between -1.96 and 0.83, Fairly Valued between 6.42 and 0.83, Overvalued between 6.42 and 9.21, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.21. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 2.31 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

4.03

EV/EBIT

Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) has a current EV/EBIT of 4.03. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 2.96. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -19.89, Undervalued between -19.89 and -8.46, Fairly Valued between 14.39 and -8.46, Overvalued between 14.39 and 25.82, and Strongly Overvalued above 25.82. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 4.03 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.24

Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) has a current PS of 1.24. The 5-year average PS is 1.65. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.23, Undervalued between 0.23 and 0.94, Fairly Valued between 2.36 and 0.94, Overvalued between 2.36 and 3.07, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.07. The current Forward PS of 1.24 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

4.39

P/OCF

Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) has a current P/OCF of 4.39. The 5-year average P/OCF is 11.52. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -43.20, Undervalued between -43.20 and -15.84, Fairly Valued between 38.88 and -15.84, Overvalued between 38.88 and 66.24, and Strongly Overvalued above 66.24. The current Forward P/OCF of 4.39 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

19.54

P/FCF

Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) has a current P/FCF of 19.54. The 5-year average P/FCF is 11.76. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -44.22, Undervalued between -44.22 and -16.23, Fairly Valued between 39.75 and -16.23, Overvalued between 39.75 and 67.74, and Strongly Overvalued above 67.74. The current Forward P/FCF of 19.54 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.94. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.76 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 23.84% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.93, the current P/B ratio is about 0.54% higher. Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.34%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 5.90%, the current FCF yield is approximately -26.40% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 11.62% , the current FCF yield is about -62.65% lower.

0.98

P/B

Median3y

0.76

Median5y

0.93

4.34

FCF Yield

Median3y

5.90

Median5y

11.62

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for CGAU's competitors is 25.66, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Centerra Gold Inc Corp (CGAU) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.24, which is -95.17% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 2.14%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Endeavour Silver Corp

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of CGAU increased by 15.40% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 13.34 to 23.78.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 2.14%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of CGAU in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

2.14%

282.31M → 288.34M

Revenue Growth

78.26%

13.34 → 23.78

Margin Expansion

-65.00%

71.43 → 25.00

P/E Change

15.40%