CG Should I Buy
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Carlyle Group Inc (CG) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 to invest. The company's strong financial performance, positive analyst sentiment, and recent strategic acquisitions provide a solid foundation for growth. While technical indicators are mixed, the long-term outlook and fundamentals outweigh short-term fluctuations.
The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, suggesting bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 32.402, and moving averages are converging, indicating indecision. The stock is trading near a key support level at 53.022, with resistance at 60.631. Overall, technical indicators are mixed but not overly bearish.
Carlyle Group achieved record fee-related earnings of $1.2 billion in 2025, reflecting 12% YoY growth.
Q4 distributable EPS of $1.01 surpassed analyst estimates, showcasing profitability improvements.
Acquisition of a 45% stake in Edelweiss Financial's Nido Home Finance for $232 million indicates strategic expansion.
Increased dividend yield of 2.5% reflects investor confidence.
Technical indicators suggest short-term bearish momentum.
Broader market sentiment is negative, with the S&P 500 down 1.54%.
In Q4 2025, Carlyle Group reported a 29.13% YoY revenue increase to $1.197 billion, a 69.80% YoY net income increase to $358.1 million, and a 68.42% YoY EPS increase to $0.96. Gross margin remained stable at 83.21%. These results indicate strong financial growth and operational efficiency.
Analysts are optimistic about Carlyle Group, with multiple price target increases. Barclays raised the price target to $71 from $65 with an Overweight rating, citing strong earnings and transaction fees. Morgan Stanley also raised the target to $71, highlighting supportive deal activity. Evercore ISI raised the target to $62, noting optimism for strong monetizations in 2026.
