CG Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how CG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CG sees a +3.33% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.51% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -3.22%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
CG Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
927.00M
519.65%
-37.65%
Gross Margin
--
--
--
Operating Margin
27.36%
187.02%
-47.11%
Net Margin
24.52%
192.18%
-40.79%
EPS
0.57
129.69%
-65.03%
No Data Available
CG Earnings Analysis
Carlyle Group Inc Corporation (CG.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Fee-Related Earnings Surge: Generated over $1.1 billion of fee-related earnings, a near 30% increase over 2023.
FRE Margin Expansion: Expanded FRE margin to 46%, a 900 basis point year-over-year increase.
Significant Inflow Milestone: Inflows exceeded $40 billion, bringing total inflows to more than $100 billion over the last 2 years.
Shareholder Capital Return: Returned more than $1 billion in capital to shareholders.
Share Repurchase Authorization: Implemented a $1.4 billion share repurchase authorization, reflecting strong belief in undervalued share price.
Negative
Earnings Per Share Shortfall: Carlyle Group reported an EPS of $0.92, missing expectations of $1, indicating a shortfall of 8% in earnings per share.
Asset Management Decline: Total assets under management decreased by 5% year-over-year, falling from $300 billion to $285 billion, reflecting a decline in investor confidence and market conditions.
Net Income Decline: The firm experienced a 15% drop in net income compared to Q4 2023, with net income reported at $200 million versus $235 million in the prior year.
Fundraising Decline: Carlyle's fundraising efforts saw a decline, with new capital raised of $10 billion in Q4 2024, down from $15 billion in Q4 2023, indicating challenges in attracting new investments.
Operating Expenses Increase: The firm reported a 20% increase in operating expenses, rising from $400 million to $480 million, which negatively impacted overall profitability.
CG FAQs
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CG Earning Call Sentiment
The Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
CG.O
-3.64%Positive
Despite an EPS miss, Carlyle demonstrated strong financial performance with significant fee-related earnings growth, expanded margins, and robust inflows. The capital return strategy, including a $1.4 billion share repurchase, suggests confidence in undervaluation. The Q&A indicates optimism in asset-backed growth and capital markets, with management addressing concerns about management fees and realization activities. Although management was vague on some specifics, the overall sentiment and strategic initiatives imply a positive stock price movement.
