Quarterly Results
CG Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, CG remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.06B and an EPS of 1.06.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -6.22%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -1.4%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 2.08% . These revisions correlate with a 9.00% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in CG long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how CG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CG sees a +5.06% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.12% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -2.81%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -2.83% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 0.02% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of CG's latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
CG reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-31, showcasing a revenue of 782.50M against an estimate of 979.92M, resulting in a -20.15% surprise. The EPS was 0.96, surpassing the expected 0.99 by -3.03% . The stock experienced a -5.75% price change on the earnings day and a -7.99% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did CG's stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
Following CG's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-31, the stock price moved by -5.75% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -7.99% change. Historically, CG's stock price tends to shift by an average of +5.06% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.12% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for CG for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate CG’s annual revenue to reach 1.06B, while the EPS is projected at 1.06. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -6.22% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 2.08% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does CG's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between CG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -6.22%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 2.08% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from CG's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, CG's stock price typically moves by +5.06% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.12% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.06 and revenue of 1.06B.
What is the sentiment in Carlyle Group Inc (CG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The company demonstrated strong financial performance with increased FRE growth expectations and significant inflows, especially in Global Credit and Real Estate. The Q&A highlighted confidence in sustained growth across various sectors, including private equity, credit, and wealth channels. Despite some lack of detail in management's responses, the overall sentiment remains positive, driven by strong inflows and optimistic guidance. The absence of negative indicators and the potential for further growth support a strong positive outlook for the stock price.

