Should You Buy Coeur Mining Inc (CDE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
25.620
1 Day change
-0.35%
52 Week Range
27.770
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor who is impatient. CDE is in a strong uptrend, but momentum looks stretched (RSI ~71) and the stock is trading around/above most recent Wall Street price targets (many are $21–$25 while the stock is ~$25). With elevated volatility and a recent surge tied to silver enthusiasm + the pending New Gold merger, the risk/reward is not attractive for initiating a fresh long-term position at today’s price. I would rate it a HOLD (avoid new buys at ~$25).
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but extended.
Momentum: MACD histogram positive (0.375) but contracting, suggesting upside momentum is slowing.
RSI: RSI_6 = 71.27 (near overbought), consistent with a stock that may need to cool off rather than offer a clean long-term entry today.
Key levels: Pivot support ~23.94 (first area buyers may defend). Resistance ~26.84, then ~28.63.
Interpretation: The primary trend is up, but the setup is late-stage/overextended—better for holders than new long-term buyers at current price.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Bullish skew (very low put/call ratios on both open interest and volume suggest calls dominate).
Volatility: Very high (30D IV ~82% vs historical vol ~94%, IV percentile ~88.8). This implies traders are pricing big moves and uncertainty; it’s supportive for short-term speculation but is not ideal for a beginner long-term entry at elevated prices.
Positioning/flow: Today’s volume is below recent averages (today vs 30D avg ~67.5), but open interest is large, indicating sustained derivatives attention rather than a one-day spike.
Technical Summary
Sell
4
Buy
8
Positive Catalysts
Merger catalyst: Coeur + New Gold merger plan approved by shareholders; deal expected to close in H1 2026 pending regulatory approvals (clear event-driven storyline).
Silver tailwind: News flow shows strong retail inflows into silver exposure and silver prices surging (supports sentiment for silver-linked miners).
Institutional behavior: Hedge funds are reported as buying aggressively (large QoQ increase).
Upcoming catalyst: Earnings on 2026-02-18 after hours (potential re-pricing event).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Valuation/target overhang: Stock (~$25) is already at/above many published price targets (Roth $23, Raymond James $21, TD $25; Cantor moved to Hold with $16 after a huge prior rally), limiting near-term upside based on Street models.
Technical stretch: RSI near overbought and MACD momentum contracting—higher odds of consolidation or pullback than immediate sustained upside.
Event risk: Merger still requires regulatory approvals; integration/synergy and deal terms can create volatility.
Crowded silver trade risk: News notes some investors making leveraged bets against silver; if silver cools sharply, miners can retrace quickly.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth was very strong: Revenue $554.6M (+76.91% YoY), Net Income $266.8M (+447.45% YoY), EPS $0.41 (+241.67% YoY), Gross Margin 42% (+6.60% YoY). Overall: fundamentals are improving sharply, supporting the longer-term story, but the stock price appears to have already reflected a lot of optimism.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Mostly constructive but becoming more mixed as the stock rallied. TD Securities reiterated Buy and raised PT to $25; Roth kept Buy but raised PT to $23; Raymond James kept Outperform but trimmed PT to $21; Cantor downgraded to Hold (PT $16) citing the stock as fully/fairly valued after a massive run.
Wall Street pros: Strong North American silver exposure, diversified mine portfolio, exploration to extend reserve life, and the New Gold deal positioning.
Wall Street cons: After the big rally, upside looks more limited vs targets; some models suggest fair value is below today’s price, implying less attractive entry timing now.
Politics/insiders: No recent congress trading data available; insiders show no significant recent trend (neutral).
Wall Street analysts forecast CDE stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CDE is 21.86 USD with a low forecast of 16 USD and a high forecast of 25 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CDE stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CDE is 21.86 USD with a low forecast of 16 USD and a high forecast of 25 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 25.710
Low
16
Averages
21.86
High
25
Current: 25.710
Low
16
Averages
21.86
High
25
Roth Capital
Joe Reagor
Buy
maintain
$20 -> $23
AI Analysis
2025-12-15
Reason
Roth Capital
Joe Reagor
Price Target
$20 -> $23
AI Analysis
2025-12-15
maintain
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Joe Reagor raised the firm's price target on Coeur Mining to $23 from $20 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is updating its estimates to reflect revised forecasts for Q4 2025 and beyond, noting that while the future of gold and silver prices are uncertain due to the dynamics that drive cycle peaks, it is also prudent to revise its expectations to be more in line with the current market, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Roth adds that it is boosting its 2026 gold price forecast to $4,125 from $2,863 and its silver forecast to $56.25 from $32.50.
TD Securities
Wayne Lam
Buy
maintain
$23 -> $25
2025-11-11
Reason
TD Securities
Wayne Lam
Price Target
$23 -> $25
2025-11-11
maintain
Buy
Reason
TD Securities analyst Wayne Lam raised the firm's price target on Coeur Mining to $25 from $23 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is constructive on the New Gold acquisition, saying it positions Coeur as the potential new leader in North American silver. It believes Coeur is a core holding for investors with a focus on mine life extension and silver exposure.
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