Should You Buy Carnival Corp (CCL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Buy now for a beginner long-term investor. While near-term technicals are slightly weak (MACD below zero and RSI in the mid-40s) and the pattern-based model implies elevated 1-month downside risk, Carnival’s fundamentals are improving (FY2025 Q4 revenue and earnings up YoY), and Wall Street price targets have broadly moved higher into 2026. At ~$29, the stock offers attractive long-term upside versus the cluster of $33–$40 targets, making it a good buy today for an impatient investor who wants to get invested rather than wait for a perfect entry.
Technical Analysis
Price/levels: CCL is ~$29.01, near the pivot (29.113). Nearby support is S1 ~27.97 (then S2 ~27.26); resistance is R1 ~30.26 (then R2 ~30.97).
Momentum: MACD histogram is -0.31 (bearish), but it is negatively contracting, which often signals downside momentum is fading.
RSI: RSI(6) ~44.7 (neutral-to-slightly weak), not oversold.
Trend/MA: Moving averages are converging, consistent with consolidation rather than a strong trend.
Short-term probabilistic trend (pattern analogs): indicates ~60% chance of -1.25% next day, +0.46% next week, and -11.63% next month—suggesting choppiness and risk of a larger pullback even if the long-term thesis remains intact.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Price targets have generally been revised upward following the FY2025 Q4 update (e.g., Wells Fargo to $38, Goldman to $34, Barclays to $37, Mizuho to $38, Stifel to $40, Morgan Stanley to $33, Bernstein to $33, Truist to $34). Ratings skew mixed-to-positive: multiple Buys/Overweights/Outperforms (Stifel, Goldman, Wells Fargo, Barclays, Mizuho) alongside several Holds/Market Perform/Equal Weight (Truist, Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley, Bernstein) and a downgrade to Hold at Peel Hunt.
Wall Street pros: improving fundamentals, healthier 2026 setup, and multiple catalysts cited (yields stabilizing/troughing, potential capital return themes).
Wall Street cons: concern that supply/demand balance in mass market may cap near-term yield growth, leading some firms to stay at Hold despite higher targets.
Wall Street analysts forecast CCL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CCL is 37.59 USD with a low forecast of 33 USD and a high forecast of 45 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast CCL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CCL is 37.59 USD with a low forecast of 33 USD and a high forecast of 45 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 28.720
Current: 28.720
