Should You Buy CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
171.610
1 Day change
1.24%
52 Week Range
173.050
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Buy for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k now. CBRE is in a clear uptrend (bullish moving averages), fundamentals are accelerating (strong YoY revenue/EPS/net income growth in 2025/Q3), and Wall Street sentiment has recently improved with upgrades/initiations and higher price targets. With your preference for long-term and impatience to wait for a perfect dip, the current level (~169.88) is an acceptable entry, especially with nearby support around ~167.8 and a near-term path toward analyst targets (~190–192).
Technical Analysis
Trend is bullish overall: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 indicates sustained upward momentum. RSI_6 at 60.38 is neutral-to-slightly-bullish (not overbought). MACD histogram is positive (0.079) but contracting, suggesting upside momentum is still present but cooling short-term. Key levels: Pivot ~167.814 (important near-term support), resistance R1 ~172.371 then R2 ~175.186; supports S1 ~163.256 and S2 ~160.441. Pattern-based short-horizon model suggests mild softness (next month -2.42%), but this does not break the broader bullish structure.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Options positioning reads as moderately bullish: open interest put-call ratio of 0.56 and volume put-call ratio of 0.5 both imply more call interest/volume than puts (bullish bias). Implied volatility (30D) ~28.68 vs historical volatility ~22.7 suggests options are pricing somewhat elevated near-term movement, but not extreme; IV percentile ~55 indicates mid-range relative to its recent history. Overall, options sentiment supports a constructive outlook rather than a defensive one.
Technical Summary
Sell
1
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
- Event-driven: CBRE’s acquisition of Industrious expands its global footprint (58% bigger; 250+ units across 100+ cities), strengthening its position in flexible office.
- Industry tailwind: Flexible office market projected to grow materially through 2033, supporting longer-cycle demand.
- Business model quality: Industrious’ asset-light, management-agreement approach can reduce downside risk versus lease-heavy models.
- Flow/sentiment: Hedge fund buying increased ~113% over the last quarter.
- Upcoming catalyst: Earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-12 pre-market; could reinforce the recovery narrative if results/guide are strong.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Macro/cycle risk: Commercial real estate recovery can be uneven; any slowdown could pressure transaction activity.
- Technical near-term: MACD momentum is positive but fading; price is below nearby resistance (~172–175), so short-term chop is possible.
- Profitability: Gross margin declined YoY in the latest reported quarter, which could remain a watch item if costs rise or pricing softens.
- No supportive signal from proprietary short-term trading modules today (no AI Stock Picker or SwingMax entry).
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth was strong: revenue $10.258B (+13.52% YoY), net income $363M (+61.33% YoY), EPS $1.21 (+65.75% YoY). The main blemish was profitability mix: gross margin fell to 17.28% (-3.46% YoY). Overall, the quarter shows accelerating earnings power alongside some margin pressure—net/net positive for long-term holders if growth remains durable.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend is improving and supportive. In the last ~2 months: Barclays initiated with Overweight and a $190 target (2025-12-02); Keefe Bruyette upgraded to Outperform with a $185 target (2025-12-14) and then raised the target to $192 while keeping Outperform (2026-01-08). Wall Street pros: positioned to benefit from a steadier CRE recovery phase, scale/quality in services, and strategic expansion into flexible office via Industrious. Cons: CRE remains cyclical and margins have shown some pressure, so execution and the pace of market recovery matter.
Influential/political trading check: No recent congress trading data available; insider activity is described as neutral with no significant trends in the last month.
Wall Street analysts forecast CBRE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CBRE is 186 USD with a low forecast of 175 USD and a high forecast of 192 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CBRE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CBRE is 186 USD with a low forecast of 175 USD and a high forecast of 192 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 169.500
Low
175
Averages
186
High
192
Current: 169.500
Low
175
Averages
186
High
192
Keefe Bruyette
Jade Rahmani
Outperform
maintain
$185 -> $192
AI Analysis
2026-01-08
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Jade Rahmani
Price Target
$185 -> $192
AI Analysis
2026-01-08
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette analyst Jade Rahmani raised the firm's price target on CBRE Group to $192 from $185 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
Keefe Bruyette
Keefe Bruyette
Market Perform -> Outperform
upgrade
$168 -> $185
2025-12-14
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$168 -> $185
2025-12-14
upgrade
Market Perform -> Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette upgraded CBRE Group to Outperform from Market Perform with a price target of $185, up from $168. The firm adjusted ratings in the real estate sector as part of its 2026 outlook. Keefe expects the commercial real estate cycle to enter a "more secure recovery phase with moderate yet still healthy growth" in 2026. This favors commercial real estate services names and "high-quality" commercial mortgage real estate investment trusts, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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