CBRE Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how CBRE performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, CBRE sees a -3.00% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.83% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +3.21%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
CBRE Key Earning Data
CBRE Earnings Analysis
Positive
Strong Business Performance: CBRE had a strong start to 2025 across all lines of business, with most businesses performing better than expected and strong new business pipelines.
EBITDA and EPS Growth: First quarter core EBITDA increased by 27% and core EPS by 10% compared to last year's first quarter, with core EPS growing 39% year-on-year when excluding a large one-time tax benefit from last year.
Strong Revenue Performance: Resilient businesses generated net revenue growth of 17% for the quarter, nearly matching the 18% increase in transactional businesses, indicating strong overall performance.
Advisory Services Revenue Surge: Advisory Services had a particularly strong start to the year with net revenue growth of 16%, driven by strong leasing and capital markets activity, especially in the U.S. where overall leasing revenue increased by 24%.
Global Property Sales Surge: Global property sales revenue increased by 13%, led by a 26% gain in the U.S., showcasing strong capital markets activity.
Mortgage Origination Growth: The mortgage origination business saw a remarkable 53% growth in origination fees, with U.S. loan origination volume rising 69%, indicating robust demand for financing.
Building Operations Revenue Growth: The Building Operations & Experience segment saw net revenue grow by 22%, with strong demand from technology, life sciences, and healthcare sectors, contributing to a 38% SOP growth.
Project Management Revenue Growth: The Project Management segment achieved revenue growth of 9%, with strong wins in infrastructure and a solid pipeline, indicating positive future prospects.
Investment Management Profit Surge: Investment management operating profit was up 43% year-on-year, driven by higher net promotes and recurring asset management fees, with AUM reaching $149 billion.
Strong Free Cash Flow: Trailing 12 months free cash flow was nearly $1.5 billion, reflecting a 93% free cash flow conversion, above the targeted range, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities.
Negative
Tariff Uncertainty Impact: Despite a strong start to 2025, the company acknowledged that uncertainty created by the tariff situation has made their outlook less clear.
EBITDA Growth and Currency Impact: While core EBITDA increased by 27%, the growth was partially offset by a 2% to 3% currency headwind, indicating potential vulnerabilities in international markets.
Core EPS Guidance Outlook: The company maintained its 2025 core EPS guidance range of $5.80 to $6.10, suggesting caution in their outlook due to market uncertainties.
Project Management Integration Challenges: The Project Management segment, while showing growth, is still in the early stages of integration and does not yet reflect the full benefits of cost and operating synergies, indicating potential future challenges.
Conservative Guidance Amid Uncertainty: The company noted that their strong performance in Q1 would have prompted a raise in full year guidance, but they chose to maintain it due to significant market uncertainty, reflecting a conservative approach to future expectations.
CBRE FAQs
How does CBRE typically perform around its earnings report dates?
CBRE's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -3.00% change leading up to the report and a +0.83% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
CBRE Earning Call Sentiment
CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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