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CAL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Caleres Inc (CAL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
13.960
1 Day change
3.41%
52 Week Range
18.120
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/22
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Caleres Inc. is not a clear buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 to deploy. The stock has positive recent news and some analyst support, but the technical trend is still weak, options sentiment is mixed-to-bearish, and there is no strong proprietary buy signal. With the stock already up sharply on the day and trading near short-term resistance, the better call is to hold off rather than buy aggressively now.

Technical Analysis

CAL closed at 13.16 after an 8.40% move, showing strong short-term momentum, but the broader trend is still not confirmed. MACD histogram is negative at -0.0689, indicating bearish momentum is still present even if it is improving. RSI_6 at 71.354 suggests the stock is near overbought territory, not an ideal fresh entry for a beginner who wants long-term exposure. Moving averages remain bearish with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5, which means the longer-term trend is still weak. Price is sitting right around resistance at R1 13.129 and below R2 13.837, while pivot support is 11.983, so upside exists but near-term follow-through is not yet proven.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is mixed. The open interest put-call ratio of 1.21 leans bearish, showing more downside hedging or bearish positioning in open interest. However, the option volume put-call ratio of 0.17 is much more bullish intraday, meaning call activity is dominating current trading. Overall, options suggest traders are positioning cautiously but with a near-term bullish tilt. Implied volatility is elevated at 82.13, with IV percentile 78.57, so the market is pricing meaningful movement.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
11

Positive Catalysts

  • Recent news is supportive: Caleres appointed Dan Karpel as CFO, which can improve financial oversight and execution. The company’s Q4 2025 report showed revenue of $695.1 million and a narrower non-GAAP loss of $0.36 per share, suggesting operational improvement. Shares also rose 3.4% in premarket after the CFO announcement, showing favorable market reaction. Analyst commentary notes sequential improvement at Famous Footwear, strong Lead Brands performance, and double-digit owned e-commerce growth. The stock also has a favorable near-term pattern estimate suggesting a 6.48% move over the next month.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The biggest negatives are the still-bearish longer-term technical setup, negative MACD, and the stock trading near short-term resistance after a large daily jump. Analyst views are mixed, with one firm cutting the target from $18 to $14 and another lowering it from $16 to $14, both citing macro and integration headwinds tied to Stuart Weitzman. The company’s latest quarter still showed a non-GAAP loss, so profitability remains incomplete. Hedge funds and insiders are neutral, which removes a strong conviction signal from smart money.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter available: Q4 2025. Caleres reported revenue of $695.1 million and non-GAAP EPS of -$0.36, which reflects improvement in sales and profitability versus a more pressured prior period, but the company is still not delivering positive earnings. Commentary highlights better sales, gross margin improvement, sequential improvement at Famous Footwear, strong performance from Lead Brands, and double-digit owned e-commerce growth. Overall, the latest quarter shows encouraging operational trends, but earnings are still not strong enough to call this a clean long-term fundamental buy on financials alone.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mildly positive but softer than before. Seaport Research kept a Buy rating but raised its target to $16 from $14, citing the Q4 sales and earnings beat and expected FY26 EPS improvement. Telsey Advisory lowered its target to $14 from $16, still noting solid year-end results and encouraging FY26 outlook despite macro and integration headwinds. Earlier, Seaport had cut its target to $14 from $18 while maintaining Buy. Wall Street is constructive overall, but the target cuts show reduced enthusiasm and a cautious view on growth durability.

Wall Street analysts forecast CAL stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CAL stock price to rise
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 13.960
sliders
Low
18
Averages
18
High
18
Current: 13.960
sliders
Low
18
Averages
18
High
18
Seaport Research
NULL -> Buy
maintain
$14 -> $16
AI Analysis
2026-03-20
Reason
Seaport Research
Price Target
$14 -> $16
AI Analysis
2026-03-20
maintain
NULL -> Buy
Reason
Seaport Research raised the firm's price target on Caleres to $16 from $14 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is citing the company's Q4 sales and earnings beat, even though its EPS came in well below a year ago, with some of that pressure coming from Stuart Weitzman dilution, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Seaport adds it is encouraged by the expected EPS uptick with respect to the company's FY26 guidance, which is hopefully just the start of better things to come.
Telsey Advisory
downgrade
$16 -> $14
2026-03-20
Reason
Telsey Advisory
Price Target
$16 -> $14
2026-03-20
downgrade
Reason
Telsey Advisory lowered the firm's price target on Caleres to $14 from $16. Caleres reported solid year-end results, with better sales and gross margin driving a modest EPS beat, supported by sequential improvement at Famous Footwear and strong performance from Lead Brands, alongside double-digit owned e-commerce growth, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The FY26 outlook appears encouraging despite macro and integration headwinds from Stuart Weitzman, the firm says.
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