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BYD Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
81.220
1 Day change
1.23%
52 Week Range
89.960
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. The stock shows mixed signals, with technical indicators leaning negative, insider selling, and declining financial performance. While there are some positive catalysts such as analyst optimism for future growth, the near-term headwinds and lack of strong trading signals suggest holding off on investment for now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative (-0.248) and expanding, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 39.987, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading below the pivot point (83.478) and closer to the support level (S1: 79.794), suggesting limited upside potential in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Some analysts have raised price targets recently, with Jefferies and Mizuho setting targets at $110 and $100, respectively, reflecting optimism for long-term growth. Boyd Gaming is considered a best-in-class casino operator with potential benefits from capital projects and market growth.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased significantly (287.74% over the last month), and hedge funds remain neutral. Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed declining net income (-17.66% YoY), EPS (-6.77% YoY), and gross margin (-13.07% YoY). Additionally, the MACD and other technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the stock is trading near support levels. News of declining electric vehicle sales and increased competition also adds to the negative sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased modestly by 2.03% YoY to $1.062 billion. However, net income dropped significantly by 17.66% YoY to $140.4 million, and EPS decreased by 6.77% YoY to 1.79. Gross margin also declined by 13.07% YoY to 39.25%. These figures indicate weakening profitability and operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have mixed views on BYD. Recent ratings include Neutral and Equal Weight from Susquehanna, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo due to near-term headwinds. However, Jefferies and Mizuho maintain Buy ratings with higher price targets ($110 and $100, respectively), citing long-term growth potential from capital projects and market opportunities.

Wall Street analysts forecast BYD stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BYD stock price to rise
4 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 80.230
sliders
Low
84
Averages
93.7
High
110
Current: 80.230
sliders
Low
84
Averages
93.7
High
110
Susquehanna
Joseph Stauff
Neutral
downgrade
$90 -> $89
AI Analysis
2026-02-11
Reason
Susquehanna
Joseph Stauff
Price Target
$90 -> $89
AI Analysis
2026-02-11
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Susquehanna analyst Joseph Stauff lowered the firm's price target on Boyd Gaming to $89 from $90 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm thinks Boyd remains a best-in-class casino operator, but its rating reflects their view of near-term headwinds outweighing potential tailwinds or sources of upward estimate revisions.
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
downgrade
$87 -> $86
2026-02-11
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$87 -> $86
2026-02-11
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Boyd Gaming to $86 from $87 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares.
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