BXMT Valuation

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc

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19.520

+0.75(3.996%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

BXMT Relative Valuation

BXMT's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, BXMT is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 7.12 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 19.39. The fair price of Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) is between 16.58 to 23.48 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

16.58-23.48

Current Price：19.02

Fair

13.98

Trailing

Forward

0.00

EV/EBITDA

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT) has a current EV/EBITDA of 0.00. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

NaN

EV/EBIT

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT) has a current EV/EBIT of NaN. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is NaN. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below NaN, Undervalued between NaN and NaN, Fairly Valued between NaN and NaN, Overvalued between NaN and NaN, and Strongly Overvalued above NaN. The current Forward EV/EBIT of NaN falls within the range.

7.12

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT) has a current PS of 7.12. The 5-year average PS is 7.62. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.39, Undervalued between 4.39 and 6.00, Fairly Valued between 9.23 and 6.00, Overvalued between 9.23 and 10.84, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.84. The current Forward PS of 7.12 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. (BXMT) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.88. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.83 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 6.65% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.95, the current P/B ratio is about -6.86% higher. Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 11.58%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 11.97%, the current FCF yield is approximately -3.29% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 10.16% , the current FCF yield is about 13.97% lower.

0.88

P/B

Median3y

0.83

Median5y

0.95

11.58

FCF Yield

Median3y

11.97

Median5y

10.16

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for BXMT's competitors is 6.15, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc Corp (BXMT) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is -100.00% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -24.07%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

BXMT.N

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc

National Health Investors Inc

Highwoods Properties Inc

Broadstone Net Lease Inc

7.17

6.68%

3.45B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of BXMT increased by 5.74% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -18.02 to -41.34.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -24.07%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of BXMT in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-24.07%

486.12M → 369.09M

Revenue Growth

-99.61%

-25.34 → -0.10

Margin Expansion

129.42%

-18.02 → -41.34

P/E Change

5.74%