Should You Buy Bridgewater Bancshares Inc (BWB) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
BUY now (long-term). BWB is in a technically bullish uptrend (bullish MA stack + expanding positive MACD) and just delivered a strong Q4 2025 earnings/revenue beat with accelerating YoY growth in loans, deposits, and net interest margin. For a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k who doesn’t want to wait for a perfect entry, the current setup supports buying at/around $18.73 with upside toward the $20 area (analyst target). Key trade-off: commercial real estate concentration and relatively low tangible common equity can cap upside and add downside sensitivity, but current fundamentals and trend still favor owning it.
Technical Analysis
Trend is bullish: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 indicates a sustained uptrend. Momentum is improving with MACD histogram at +0.0319 and expanding, suggesting bullish continuation. RSI(6) at ~59.5 is neutral-to-bullish (not overbought), leaving room for upside. Levels: pivot ~18.57 is the near-term line in the sand; support S1 ~17.97 then S2 ~17.60. Resistance R1 ~19.17 then R2 ~19.54—clearing ~19.17 would confirm continuation. Note: pattern-based forecast shows mild near-term chop (model implies ~+2.08% next week but ~-2.72% next month), so expect volatility even within an uptrend.
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