Technical Analysis:
BTI stock shows a weak rising trend in the short term, with current price at $38.93. Key technical levels include:
A buy signal emerged from a pivot bottom on February 21, 2025, with a 2.85% rise since then. However, there's currently a sell signal from the 3-month MACD.
News Analysis & Fundamental Factors:
Recent earnings showed mixed results - revenue declined but profits increased:
Barclays maintains a Buy rating with price target consensus of £3,262.50, indicating 7.89% upside potential
FDA regulatory challenges in the e-cigarette market could impact future growth
Price Prediction for Next Week (March 4-8, 2025):
Based on technical indicators and recent momentum:
Trading Recommendation: BUY
Rationale:
Entry point: $38.93-$39.10 Stop loss: $38.50 First target: $40.00 Second target: $41.00
The price of BTI is predicted to go up 0%, based on the high correlation periods with CNX. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 96.49%.
BTI
CNX
The consolidation of Reynolds America gives BAT more exposure to the US market, a high-margin market with headroom to raise prices and optionality in the heated tobacco market.
BAT's global volume is roughly evenly split across price segments and categories, so the company should be well positioned to maintain share as secular and cyclical shifts in consumer preferences occur.
BAT's portfolio is well balanced across price segments, meaning it should be fairly defensive in the event of trading down.