BTI Stock Price Prediction

British American Tobacco plc

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41.640

-1.660(-3.830%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy British American Tobacco plc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. BTI has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

BTI stock price ended at $41.64 on Friday, after losing -3.83%

The British American Tobacco plc stock price decreased by -3.83% on the last trading day (09 May 2025), dropping from 42.31 to 41.64. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.86% , ranging from a day low of $41.595 to a day high of 42.37. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -0.98% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 1.53M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 8.28M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 346.91M.

BTI Technical Signals

BTI(British American Tobacco plc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-06. The total price change during this trend is -6.55%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of BTI over the last 5 trading days is 310.43M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

BTI Moving Average Analysis

British American Tobacco plc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Monday, May 12, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $45.188996553333325, and $46.405666553333326. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $41.252336553333336, and $40.035666553333336. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

BTI Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of British American Tobacco plc(BTI) as of 09 May 2025 is 16.34%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 43.30 to 41.64. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

1.849

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.661

Bullish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 < -80

-98.43

Bullish

3 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-0.41

Bearish

Closing price

close < fibonacci_S1

41.64

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 20-day SMA

Bearish

BTI Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to British American Tobacco plc(BTI), our algorithm predicts BTI's 1-month price at $39.35, with an -5.5%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.80%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for British American Tobacco plc (BTI.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a -5.5% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with SON.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.8%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

BTI

Future prediction

Up: -5.5%

SON

Down: -5.5%Similarity: 95.8%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

SON.N

95.80%

-5.50%

CSWC.O

94.65%

-0.13%

MAC.N

94.51%

+0.54%

TU.N

94.38%

-1.28%

UFPT.O

94.22%

+2.75%

TTMI.O

94.15%

+32.33%

ALK.N

94.03%

+6.77%

BLMN.O

93.99%

-2.32%

ORA.N

93.89%

-5.57%

QDEL.O

93.88%

-3.69%

BTI Seasonality Analysis

Based on BTI's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in BTI. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at81.82%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying British American Tobacco plc (BTI.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (81.82%), while June has the lowest probability (40.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows British American Tobacco plc. (BTI)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.