BMBL Valuation

Bumble Inc

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3.740

-0.165(-4.225%)1D

BMBL Relative Valuation

BMBL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, BMBL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Bumble Inc (BMBL) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 3.90 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 127.32. The fair price of Bumble Inc (BMBL) is between 2.80 to 6.87 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

2.80-6.87

Current Price：3.90

Fair

4.45

Trailing

Forward

4.39

EV/EBITDA

Bumble Inc. (BMBL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 4.39. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 15.86. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -6.25, Undervalued between -6.25 and 4.80, Fairly Valued between 26.92 and 4.80, Overvalued between 26.92 and 37.98, and Strongly Overvalued above 37.98. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 4.39 falls within the Undervalued range.

5.14

EV/EBIT

Bumble Inc. (BMBL) has a current EV/EBIT of 5.14. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 52.79. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -59.32, Undervalued between -59.32 and -3.27, Fairly Valued between 108.84 and -3.27, Overvalued between 108.84 and 164.89, and Strongly Overvalued above 164.89. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 5.14 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

3.74

Bumble Inc. (BMBL) has a current PS of 3.74. The 5-year average PS is 3.07. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.02, Undervalued between -2.02 and 0.53, Fairly Valued between 5.61 and 0.53, Overvalued between 5.61 and 8.15, and Strongly Overvalued above 8.15. The current Forward PS of 3.74 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

2.50

P/OCF

Bumble Inc. (BMBL) has a current P/OCF of 2.50. The 5-year average P/OCF is 18.52. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -24.68, Undervalued between -24.68 and -3.08, Fairly Valued between 40.11 and -3.08, Overvalued between 40.11 and 61.71, and Strongly Overvalued above 61.71. The current Forward P/OCF of 2.50 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

2.53

P/FCF

Bumble Inc. (BMBL) has a current P/FCF of 2.53. The 5-year average P/FCF is 21.98. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -44.63, Undervalued between -44.63 and -11.33, Fairly Valued between 55.28 and -11.33, Overvalued between 55.28 and 88.59, and Strongly Overvalued above 88.59. The current Forward P/FCF of 2.53 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Bumble Inc (BMBL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.65. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.09 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -40.41% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 4.08, the current P/B ratio is about -84.02% higher. Bumble Inc (BMBL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.39%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 14.17%, the current FCF yield is approximately -97.21% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 9.79% , the current FCF yield is about -95.97% lower.

0.62

P/B

Median3y

1.09

Median5y

4.08

0.41

FCF Yield

Median3y

14.17

Median5y

9.79

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for BMBL's competitors is 10.07, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Bumble Inc Corp (BMBL) exhibits a P/S ratio of 3.74, which is -62.87% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -10.03%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

DoubleDown Interactive Co Ltd

Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc

Definitive Healthcare Corp

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of BMBL decreased by 56.96% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -1.25 to -2.00.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -10.03%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of BMBL in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-10.03%

273.61M → 246.16M

Revenue Growth

-106.76%

-310.40 → 20.98

Margin Expansion

59.83%

-1.25 → -2.00

P/E Change

-56.96%