Should You Buy Banco Bradesco SA (BBD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
4.160
1 Day change
0.48%
52 Week Range
4.210
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
BUY for a beginner long-term investor right now. The stock is in a strong uptrend (bullish moving averages + positive/expanding MACD) and fundamentals are improving (2025/Q3 revenue, net income, and EPS all up double-digits YoY). Options positioning is also bullish (put/call OI ratio 0.7 and put volume essentially zero). Although RSI is extremely overbought (near-term pullback risk), the data still favors owning it now rather than waiting, especially with earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-05 as a potential catalyst.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish. SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 confirms an established uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0717) and expanding, reinforcing upside momentum. Overbought signal: RSI_6 = 94.12 indicates the stock is stretched and prone to a short-term dip even if the larger trend stays up. Levels: Price 4.186 is above R1 (4.062) and below R2 (4.256). A push toward ~4.256 is plausible in-trend; near-term support to watch is ~4.062 then pivot ~3.749.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Short-horizon pattern stats (supplemental): Similar-pattern study implies a mild near-term dip probability (-1.7% next day, -0.29% next week) but positive 1-month bias (+3.21%), consistent with an uptrend that may pause/pull back briefly.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment/positioning: Bullish. Open interest put/call ratio at 0.7 suggests more call positioning than puts. Put volume is near zero while call volume dominates (calls 10,664 vs puts 30), indicating strongly bullish day-to-day flow. Volatility: IV percentile 14 (IV rank 7.69) is low, implying options are relatively cheap vs the past year; that typically aligns with calmer risk pricing and can support equity upside if fundamentals/news remain constructive. Activity: Today’s option volume is well above its 30-day average (42.4x), signaling heightened interest, skewed heavily to calls.
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
9
Positive Catalysts
2) Strong operating momentum from the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3) with solid YoY growth in revenue, net income, and EPS. 3) Bullish technical trend (moving averages + positive MACD) and bullish options flow (call-heavy volume).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
1) Extremely overbought RSI (94) increases the chance of a near-term pullback. 2) Price has already moved above at least one referenced analyst target in the news summary (stock may be ‘ahead of target’ short-term). 3) Pattern-based stats suggest a modest probability of a short-term dip over the next day/week even if the month remains positive.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth was solid: Revenue rose to 4,993,972,751.11 (+19.78% YoY), Net Income to 1,009,771,681.02 (+14.99% YoY), and EPS to 0.10 (+25.00% YoY). Overall, the latest quarter shows improving profitability and earnings power alongside strong top-line growth—supportive for a long-term buy thesis.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
The provided analyst-rating change log appears mismatched (it references Bombardier rather than Banco Bradesco / BBD), so it is not reliable for assessing BBD’s current Wall Street stance. From the news summary, BBD recently traded above the average analyst target price (~$3.54 vs share price referenced at $3.57 in that item), which implies analysts (on average) may see limited short-term upside unless targets are revised upward. Wall Street-style pros: improving YoY growth in revenue/income/EPS and constructive price action. Cons: after the recent run, the stock may be priced near/above prior targets and is technically overbought, which can cap short-term upside.
Wall Street analysts forecast BBD stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BBD is 3.2 USD with a low forecast of 3.2 USD and a high forecast of 3.2 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast BBD stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BBD is 3.2 USD with a low forecast of 3.2 USD and a high forecast of 3.2 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 4.140
Low
3.2
Averages
3.2
High
3.2
Current: 4.140
Low
3.2
Averages
3.2
High
3.2
BMO Capital
NULL
to
Outperform
maintain
$240 -> $300
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
Reason
BMO Capital
Price Target
$240 -> $300
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
maintain
NULL
to
Outperform
Reason
BMO Capital raised the firm's price target on Bombardier to C$300 from C$240 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
CIBC
Outperformer -> Neutral
downgrade
$290
2026-01-20
Reason
CIBC
Price Target
$290
2026-01-20
downgrade
Outperformer -> Neutral
Reason
CIBC downgraded Bombardier to Neutral from Outperformer with a C$290 price target.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for BBD
