BBAI Relative Valuation
BBAI's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, BBAI is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (BBAI) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 12.03 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of -16.47. The fair price of BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (BBAI) is between 0.99 to 3.45 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 7.04 USD , BigBear.ai Holdings Inc is Overvalued By 104.35%.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
0.99-3.45
Current Price：7.04
104.35%
Overvalued
-30.80
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
-470.16
EV/EBITDA
BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (BBAI) has a current EV/EBITDA of -470.16. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -140.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -815.92, Undervalued between -815.92 and -478.16, Fairly Valued between 197.37 and -478.16, Overvalued between 197.37 and 535.14, and Strongly Overvalued above 535.14. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -470.16 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-50.84
EV/EBIT
BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (BBAI) has a current EV/EBIT of -50.84. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -26.22. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -78.88, Undervalued between -78.88 and -52.55, Fairly Valued between 0.11 and -52.55, Overvalued between 0.11 and 26.44, and Strongly Overvalued above 26.44. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -50.84 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
11.95
PS
BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (BBAI) has a current PS of 11.95. The 5-year average PS is 3.35. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.93, Undervalued between -1.93 and 0.71, Fairly Valued between 5.99 and 0.71, Overvalued between 5.99 and 8.63, and Strongly Overvalued above 8.63. The current Forward PS of 11.95 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.
-53.45
P/OCF
BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (BBAI) has a current P/OCF of -53.45. The 5-year average P/OCF is 6.60. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -91.13, Undervalued between -91.13 and -42.27, Fairly Valued between 55.46 and -42.27, Overvalued between 55.46 and 104.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 104.33. The current Forward P/OCF of -53.45 falls within the Undervalued range.
-51.12
P/FCF
BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (BBAI) has a current P/FCF of -51.12. The 5-year average P/FCF is -42.49. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -508.69, Undervalued between -508.69 and -275.59, Fairly Valued between 190.62 and -275.59, Overvalued between 190.62 and 423.72, and Strongly Overvalued above 423.72. The current Forward P/FCF of -51.12 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (BBAI) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 10.30. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of -13.74 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -174.92% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -6.28, the current P/B ratio is about -263.94% higher. BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (BBAI) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -1.50%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -12.57%, the current FCF yield is approximately -88.07% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -11.06% , the current FCF yield is about -86.45% lower.
9.90
P/B
Median3y
-13.74
Median5y
-6.28
-1.51
FCF Yield
Median3y
-12.57
Median5y
-11.06
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for BBAI's competitors is 4.86, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. BigBear.ai Holdings Inc Corp (BBAI) exhibits a P/S ratio of 11.95, which is 146.04% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 4.94%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of BBAI increased by 342.77% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -1.48 to -7.28.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 4.94%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of BBAI in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.
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FAQ
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