BBAI Valuation

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc

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5.850

-0.29(-4.723%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

BBAI Relative Valuation

BBAI's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, BBAI is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (BBAI) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 16.45 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of -16.44. The fair price of BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (BBAI) is between 0.58 to 2.24 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 5.85 USD , BigBear.ai Holdings Inc is Overvalued By 161.11%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

0.58-2.24

Current Price：5.85

161.11%

Overvalued

-17.72

Trailing

Forward

-81.61

EV/EBITDA

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (BBAI) has a current EV/EBITDA of -81.61. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -139.59. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -815.51, Undervalued between -815.51 and -477.55, Fairly Valued between 198.36 and -477.55, Overvalued between 198.36 and 536.32, and Strongly Overvalued above 536.32. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -81.61 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-19.76

EV/EBIT

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (BBAI) has a current EV/EBIT of -19.76. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -26.03. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -78.39, Undervalued between -78.39 and -52.21, Fairly Valued between 0.15 and -52.21, Overvalued between 0.15 and 26.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 26.33. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -19.76 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

16.45

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (BBAI) has a current PS of 16.45. The 5-year average PS is 3.47. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.36, Undervalued between -2.36 and 0.56, Fairly Valued between 6.38 and 0.56, Overvalued between 6.38 and 9.30, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.30. The current Forward PS of 16.45 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

-16.46

P/OCF

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (BBAI) has a current P/OCF of -16.46. The 5-year average P/OCF is 6.57. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -90.64, Undervalued between -90.64 and -42.04, Fairly Valued between 55.18 and -42.04, Overvalued between 55.18 and 103.79, and Strongly Overvalued above 103.79. The current Forward P/OCF of -16.46 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-16.34

P/FCF

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (BBAI) has a current P/FCF of -16.34. The 5-year average P/FCF is -42.16. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -506.68, Undervalued between -506.68 and -274.42, Fairly Valued between 190.10 and -274.42, Overvalued between 190.10 and 422.36, and Strongly Overvalued above 422.36. The current Forward P/FCF of -16.34 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (BBAI) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 8.30. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of -14.18 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -158.56% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -6.16, the current P/B ratio is about -234.86% higher. BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (BBAI) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -1.21%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -12.33%, the current FCF yield is approximately -90.15% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -10.97% , the current FCF yield is about -88.93% lower.

8.30

P/B

Median3y

-14.18

Median5y

-6.16

-1.21

FCF Yield

Median3y

-12.33

Median5y

-10.97

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for BBAI's competitors is 5.19, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. BigBear.ai Holdings Inc Corp (BBAI) exhibits a P/S ratio of 16.45, which is 216.90% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -18.38%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

BBAI.N

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc

OneConnect Financial Technology Co Ltd

Lightspeed Commerce Inc

Sapiens International Corporation NV

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of BBAI increased by 267.92% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -36.29 to -704.05.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -18.38%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of BBAI in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-18.38%

39.78M → 32.47M

Revenue Growth

1840.07%

-36.29 → -704.05

Margin Expansion

-1553.77%

0.26 → -3.71

P/E Change

267.92%