BBAI Stock Price Prediction

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Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy BigBear.ai Holdings Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. BBAI has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

BBAI stock price ended at $3.55 on Tuesday, after losing -4.57%

The BigBear.ai Holdings Inc stock price decreased by -4.57% on the last trading day (20 May 2025), dropping from 3.74 to 3.55. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 7.94% , ranging from a day low of $3.5 to a day high of 3.778. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 14.89% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -14.63M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 43.59M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 157.87M.

BBAI Technical Signals

BBAI(BigBear.ai Holdings Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-04-08. The total price change during this trend is +33.46%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of BBAI over the last 5 trading days is 268.23M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

BBAI Moving Average Analysis

BigBear.ai Holdings Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Wednesday, May 21, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $4.47138, and $5.01. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $2.7286200000000003, and $2.19. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

BBAI Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of BigBear.ai Holdings Inc(BBAI) as of 16 May 2025 is 46.30%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 3.64 to 3.67. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.622

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.46

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.122

Bullish

Moving Average

10-day SMA crosses above 60-day SMA

Bullish

1 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Moving Average

Price crosses below 5-day SMA

Bearish

BBAI Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to BigBear.ai Holdings Inc(BBAI), our algorithm predicts BBAI's 1-month price at $3.70, with an 0.9%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.64%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (BBAI.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 0.9% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with SPNT.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.64%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

BBAI

Future prediction

Up: 0.9%

SPNT

Up: 0.9%Similarity: 95.64%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

SPNT.N

95.64%

+0.90%

APO.N

95.39%

+1.60%

POOL.O

95.10%

+0.24%

WWD.O

95.00%

-6.45%

HIFS.O

94.97%

+4.91%

USFD.N

94.96%

+1.94%

WMS.N

94.94%

+14.25%

CVCO.O

94.89%

-6.13%

HUN.N

94.84%

-6.08%

HHH.N

94.83%

-11.76%

BBAI Seasonality Analysis

Based on BBAI's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is25.00%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in BBAI. In contrast,Februaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at75.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying BigBear.ai Holdings Inc (BBAI.N) stock in February has the highest probability of a positive return (75.00%), while July has the lowest probability (0.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows BigBear.ai Holdings Inc. (BBAI)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.