Should You Buy Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp (BAH) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who’s impatient. The stock is technically weak (bearish MACD, price sitting just under key support), recent news flow is negative (Treasury contract cancellations + data-breach overhang), and the latest quarter showed revenue contraction despite EPS support from tax/margins. With no Intellectia buy signals today, the risk/reward is not attractive for an immediate entry; I would wait rather than buy now.
Technical Analysis
Trend/price action: BAH is at ~89.97, trading just below S1 support (90.516) and well below the pivot (98.049), implying the prevailing trend is still down/weak. Momentum: MACD histogram is -0.304 and negatively expanding, which typically signals bearish momentum is strengthening. RSI(6) at 35.882 is near oversold but not clearly signaling a reversal yet—this can mean downside can persist before a bounce. Moving averages are converging, suggesting consolidation after a drop rather than a confirmed uptrend. Key levels: immediate support is 90.516 then 85.862; upside levels to reclaim are 98.049 (pivot) and 105.582. Probabilistic pattern read also leans slightly negative near-term (higher chance of a small next-day drop).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: **No signal on given stock today.**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: price targets have been nudged up modestly after the quarter (e.g., UBS to $97, Truist to $98, Stifel to $115), but the ratings are overwhelmingly Neutral/Hold. Jefferies stays Hold (~$95) and highlighted EPS guidance help vs revenue contraction; BofA remains Underperform ($90) citing civil business risk and CFO transition uncertainty. Wall Street pros: resilient defense/intel demand, cost actions/tax tailwinds supporting EPS, potential rebound if short interest is high. Cons: weakening revenue outlook/topline visibility, margin pressure, civil spending risk, and negative government oversight headlines.
Influential/political trades: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days.
Wall Street analysts forecast BAH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BAH is 99.2 USD with a low forecast of 80 USD and a high forecast of 160 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast BAH stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BAH is 99.2 USD with a low forecast of 80 USD and a high forecast of 160 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 91.100
Current: 91.100
