AZO Valuation

Autozone Inc

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4060.330

-12.47(-0.306%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

AZO Relative Valuation

AZO's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AZO is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Autozone Inc (AZO) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 25.24 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 17.88. The fair price of Autozone Inc (AZO) is between 3182.37 to 3816.14 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 4072.80 USD , Autozone Inc is Overvalued By 6.73%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

3182.37-3816.14

Current Price：4072.80

6.73%

Overvalued

25.19

Trailing

Forward

17.57

EV/EBITDA

Autozone Inc. (AZO) has a current EV/EBITDA of 17.57. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 13.46. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 10.55, Undervalued between 10.55 and 12.01, Fairly Valued between 14.92 and 12.01, Overvalued between 14.92 and 16.38, and Strongly Overvalued above 16.38. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 17.57 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

20.60

EV/EBIT

Autozone Inc. (AZO) has a current EV/EBIT of 20.60. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 15.51. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 12.13, Undervalued between 12.13 and 13.82, Fairly Valued between 17.20 and 13.82, Overvalued between 17.20 and 18.89, and Strongly Overvalued above 18.89. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 20.60 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

3.45

Autozone Inc. (AZO) has a current PS of 3.45. The 5-year average PS is 2.54. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.88, Undervalued between 1.88 and 2.21, Fairly Valued between 2.87 and 2.21, Overvalued between 2.87 and 3.20, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.20. The current Forward PS of 3.45 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

17.84

P/OCF

Autozone Inc. (AZO) has a current P/OCF of 17.84. The 5-year average P/OCF is 14.92. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 9.87, Undervalued between 9.87 and 12.39, Fairly Valued between 17.45 and 12.39, Overvalued between 17.45 and 19.97, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.97. The current Forward P/OCF of 17.84 falls within the Overvalued range.

28.57

P/FCF

Autozone Inc. (AZO) has a current P/FCF of 28.57. The 5-year average P/FCF is 13.96. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -29.76, Undervalued between -29.76 and -7.90, Fairly Valued between 35.83 and -7.90, Overvalued between 35.83 and 57.69, and Strongly Overvalued above 57.69. The current Forward P/FCF of 28.57 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Autozone Inc (AZO) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of -17.08. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of -11.50 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 48.48% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -14.85, the current P/B ratio is about 15.02% higher. Autozone Inc (AZO) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 4.07%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 5.69% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

-17.04

P/B

Median3y

-11.50

Median5y

-14.85

2.94

FCF Yield

Median3y

4.07

Median5y

5.69

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for AZO's competitors is 4.05, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Autozone Inc Corp (AZO) exhibits a P/S ratio of 3.45, which is -14.77% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 5.40%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

MINISO Group Holding Ltd

O'Reilly Automotive Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of AZO increased by 28.02% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 20.39 to 27.34.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 5.40%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of AZO in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

5.40%

4.24B → 4.46B

Revenue Growth

-11.44%

15.39 → 13.63

Margin Expansion

34.06%

20.39 → 27.34

P/E Change

28.02%