Should I Buy AvalonBay Communities Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AVB has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
AVB stock price ended at $206.52 on Wednesday, after rising 0.11%
The AvalonBay Communities Inc stock price increased by 0.11% on the last trading day (18 Jun 2025), rising from 206.69 to 206.52. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.16% , ranging from a day low of $205.7385 to a day high of 208.13. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 0.93% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 202.00K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 883.32K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 182.57M.
AVB Technical Signals
AVB(AvalonBay Communities Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 0 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-30. The total price change during this trend is -0.12%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of AVB over the last 5 trading days is 146.95M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
AVB Moving Average Analysis
AvalonBay Communities Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, June 20, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $210.54174, and $213.38. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $201.35826000000003, and $198.52000000000004. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
AVB Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of AvalonBay Communities Inc(AVB) as of 17 Jun 2025 is 20.59%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 207.22 to 206.30. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
0
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
1.509
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
1.91
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.418
Bullish
0 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
No Data
AVB Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to AvalonBay Communities Inc(AVB), our algorithm predicts AVB's 1-month price at $205.85, with an -0.16%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.92%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB.N) stock, as of Sunday, June 15, 2025 , forecasts a -0.16% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ESS.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.92%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
AVB
No Data
ESS
Down: -0.16%Similarity: 96.92%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
ESS.N
96.92%
-0.16%
CPT.N
94.20%
-0.43%
UDR.N
90.17%
-0.27%
AVB Seasonality Analysis
Based on AVB's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is60.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AVB. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at66.67%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (66.67%), while September has the lowest probability (30.77%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows AvalonBay Communities Inc. (AVB)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
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