AVAV Valuation

AeroVironment Inc

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235.070

+2.83(1.219%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

AVAV Relative Valuation

AVAV's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, AVAV is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

AeroVironment Inc (AVAV) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 68.51 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 48.72. The fair price of AeroVironment Inc (AVAV) is between 129.35 to 206.98 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 234.39 USD , AeroVironment Inc is Overvalued By 13.24%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

129.35-206.98

Current Price：234.39

13.24%

Overvalued

68.30

Trailing

Forward

37.01

EV/EBITDA

AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) has a current EV/EBITDA of 37.01. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 27.50. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 12.74, Undervalued between 12.74 and 20.12, Fairly Valued between 34.88 and 20.12, Overvalued between 34.88 and 42.26, and Strongly Overvalued above 42.26. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 37.01 falls within the Overvalued range.

77.21

EV/EBIT

AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) has a current EV/EBIT of 77.21. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 66.80. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -100.65, Undervalued between -100.65 and -16.93, Fairly Valued between 150.52 and -16.93, Overvalued between 150.52 and 234.25, and Strongly Overvalued above 234.25. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 77.21 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5.77

AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) has a current PS of 5.77. The 5-year average PS is 4.72. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.56, Undervalued between 2.56 and 3.64, Fairly Valued between 5.81 and 3.64, Overvalued between 5.81 and 6.89, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.89. The current Forward PS of 5.77 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

74.91

P/OCF

AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) has a current P/OCF of 74.91. The 5-year average P/OCF is 61.73. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.83, Undervalued between 0.83 and 31.28, Fairly Valued between 92.19 and 31.28, Overvalued between 92.19 and 122.64, and Strongly Overvalued above 122.64. The current Forward P/OCF of 74.91 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5437.14

P/FCF

AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV) has a current P/FCF of 5437.14. The 5-year average P/FCF is 207.74. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1619.49, Undervalued between -1619.49 and -705.87, Fairly Valued between 1121.36 and -705.87, Overvalued between 1121.36 and 2034.98, and Strongly Overvalued above 2034.98. The current Forward P/FCF of 5437.14 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

AeroVironment Inc (AVAV) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 7.46. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 5.07 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 47.16% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 4.57, the current P/B ratio is about 63.08% higher. AeroVironment Inc (AVAV) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -0.21%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -0.14%, the current FCF yield is approximately 43.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 0.35% , the current FCF yield is about -158.73% lower.

7.43

P/B

Median3y

5.07

Median5y

4.57

-0.21

FCF Yield

Median3y

-0.14

Median5y

0.35

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for AVAV's competitors is 3.81, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. AeroVironment Inc Corp (AVAV) exhibits a P/S ratio of 5.77, which is 51.46% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 39.63%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc

Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of AVAV increased by 15.37% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 3.07 to 6.06.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 39.63%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of AVAV in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

39.63%

196.98M → 275.05M

Revenue Growth

97.39%

3.07 → 6.06

Margin Expansion

-121.65%

-698.71 → 151.27

P/E Change

15.37%