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AUB Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp (AUB) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
38.730
1 Day change
-0.36%
52 Week Range
42.180
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp (AUB) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term investment strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available. The stock shows strong financial growth, insider buying activity, and positive technical indicators, making it a compelling choice for long-term holding.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators are bullish. The MACD histogram is above 0 and positively contracting, the RSI is neutral at 60.845, and the moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key support is at 35.825, and resistance is at 38.603, suggesting limited downside risk.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Insider buying has increased by 110.12% over the last month, signaling confidence from company insiders.

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 78.14% YoY and net income up 98.84% YoY.

  • SwingMax signal from 2026-03-24 with a 7.62% price increase since then.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have lowered price targets recently due to macroeconomic concerns, including the Middle East conflict and private credit risks.

  • No recent news or Congress trading data to act as additional catalysts.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, AUB demonstrated robust growth: revenue increased by 78.14% YoY to $356.78M, net income rose by 98.84% YoY to $108.99M, and EPS grew by 35.09% YoY to $0.77.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have mixed views. Morgan Stanley recently lowered the price target to $42 from $47, citing macroeconomic risks, but other firms like Piper Sandler and Stephens maintain optimistic ratings with price targets of $47.50 and $45, respectively.

Wall Street analysts forecast AUB stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AUB stock price to rise
4 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 38.870
sliders
Low
40
Averages
44.25
High
47.5
Current: 38.870
sliders
Low
40
Averages
44.25
High
47.5
Morgan Stanley
analyst
Equal Weight
maintain
$47 -> $42
AI Analysis
2026-03-31
Reason
Morgan Stanley
analyst
Price Target
$47 -> $42
AI Analysis
2026-03-31
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Atlantic Union Bankshares to $42 from $47 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The median bank stock in the firm's coverage is down by 5% over the past 30 days amid concerns about the potential impact of the ongoing Middle East conflict on economic growth and inflation, as well as market concerns on private credit headlines, notes the analyst, who is reducing price targets across the group by 9% on average as the firm applies lower target valuation multiples to reflect higher risk in the environment.
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
maintain
$44 -> $47
2026-03-02
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$44 -> $47
2026-03-02
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Atlantic Union Bankshares to $47 from $44 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm is increasing price targets by a median 8% across the midcap banks group. While noting that recent outperformance means "the bar is higher from here," the firm remains optimistic on the group, citing tailwinds from loan growth, net interest margin and capital return.
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