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AUB Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp (AUB) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
35.710
1 Day change
3.03%
52 Week Range
42.180
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp (AUB) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, insider buying activity, and positive SwingMax signal indicate a solid entry point despite the lack of immediate AI Stock Picker signals.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding (0.173), indicating bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 64.098, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 35.603), with potential upside towards R2: 36.207.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
12

Positive Catalysts

  • Insider buying activity has increased by 110.12% over the last month, signaling confidence in the company's prospects.

  • Strong Q4 2025 financial performance with revenue up 78.14% YoY and net income up 98.84% YoY.

  • SwingMax signal on 2026-03-24 with a 2.39% price increase since then.

  • Analysts have raised price targets, with the highest at $47.50, reflecting optimism in loan growth and net interest margin.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Broader market sentiment is negative, with the S&P 500 down 1.79%.

  • Short-term stock trend analysis suggests minor declines in the next week (-1.46%) and month (-1.4%).

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Atlantic Union Bankshares reported revenue of $356.78M (+78.14% YoY), net income of $108.99M (+98.84% YoY), and EPS of $0.77 (+35.09% YoY). This demonstrates strong growth and profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are optimistic, with multiple firms raising price targets to $40-$47.50. Piper Sandler and Stephens maintain Overweight ratings, citing stronger loan growth, cost savings, and higher net interest margins. Morgan Stanley and Keefe Bruyette are more cautious with Equal Weight and Market Perform ratings, respectively.

Wall Street analysts forecast AUB stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AUB stock price to rise
4 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 34.660
sliders
Low
40
Averages
44.25
High
47.5
Current: 34.660
sliders
Low
40
Averages
44.25
High
47.5
Morgan Stanley
analyst
Equal Weight
maintain
$47 -> $42
AI Analysis
2026-03-31
New
Reason
Morgan Stanley
analyst
Price Target
$47 -> $42
AI Analysis
2026-03-31
New
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Atlantic Union Bankshares to $42 from $47 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The median bank stock in the firm's coverage is down by 5% over the past 30 days amid concerns about the potential impact of the ongoing Middle East conflict on economic growth and inflation, as well as market concerns on private credit headlines, notes the analyst, who is reducing price targets across the group by 9% on average as the firm applies lower target valuation multiples to reflect higher risk in the environment.
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
maintain
$44 -> $47
2026-03-02
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$44 -> $47
2026-03-02
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Atlantic Union Bankshares to $47 from $44 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm is increasing price targets by a median 8% across the midcap banks group. While noting that recent outperformance means "the bar is higher from here," the firm remains optimistic on the group, citing tailwinds from loan growth, net interest margin and capital return.
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