Should You Buy ATI Inc (ATI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
121.230
1 Day change
-0.40%
52 Week Range
127.110
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Buy ATI now for a long-term investor. The stock is in a broader uptrend (bullish moving-average stack), fundamentals are improving sharply (Q3 2025 profit/EPS accelerating), and Wall Street sentiment has recently turned more constructive with higher targets. Near-term tape is a bit mixed (bearish MACD momentum and put-heavy option volume), but for a Beginner + Long-term + impatient buyer, the current pre-market price near the pivot/support zone is a reasonable entry rather than waiting.
Technical Analysis
**Trend/structure:** Bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) point to an established uptrend.
**Momentum:** MACD histogram is negative (-0.619) and expanding lower, signaling short-term momentum has cooled even while the broader trend remains up.
**RSI:** RSI(6) ~60.3 = neutral-to-slightly-strong (not overbought).
**Levels:** Pivot 123.914 is the key near-term line. Above it keeps the uptrend intact; upside levels are R1 126.37 then R2 127.888; supports are S1 121.458 then S2 119.94.
**Pattern/near-term bias:** Similar-pattern study suggests modest upside skew over a month (+7.38%), but flat-to-soft over a week.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
**Sentiment read:** Open-interest P/C at 0.86 leans slightly bullish/positioned toward calls, but today’s volume P/C at 2.51 shows traders are actively buying puts (near-term caution/hedging).
**Activity/vol:** IV (30d) ~42.8 vs HV ~44.3 (similar), with IV percentile ~68 (options pricing implies relatively elevated uncertainty). Volume today (1137) is ~85% of 30-day average, while open interest is elevated vs its average (~121%), suggesting positioning is building rather than purely day-trading.
Technical Summary
Sell
4
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
- Strong aerospace/defense cycle commentary embedded in recent analyst upgrades (expectations for visible growth).
- Improving profitability and EPS growth in the latest reported quarter.
- Upcoming earnings (2026-02-03 pre-market) can serve as a catalyst if results/guide confirm the growth trajectory (consensus EPS est. 0.89).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Insiders are selling, with selling amount up ~188.53% over the last month (can weigh on sentiment).
- Short-term momentum is weakening (MACD negative and deteriorating), increasing odds of chop/pullbacks even within an uptrend.
- Options flow today is put-heavy (volume P/C 2.51), implying near-term caution/hedging into the next catalyst window.
- No supportive news flow in the past week (no fresh catalyst to immediately reverse short-term momentum).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: **2025/Q3**. Growth trends are constructive: Revenue **$1.1255B (+7.07% YoY)**, Net Income **$110M (+33.01% YoY)**, EPS **$0.78 (+36.84% YoY)**, and Gross Margin **23.32% (+9.02% YoY)**. The key takeaway is earnings and margins are growing faster than revenue, indicating improving operating leverage/quality of growth.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent Street trend is positive. **KeyBanc upgraded to Overweight** (initiated/confirmed upgrade on 2025-11-12 and reiterated 2025-11-13) with a **$120** target, citing margin progress, aerospace/defense growth runway, and strong free cash flow/buyback potential. **JPMorgan reiterated Overweight and raised its target to $135 (from $118) on 2025-12-19**, pointing to strong aerospace demand and improving supply dynamics.
**Wall St. pros:** improving margins/FCF, aerospace & defense demand visibility, and differentiated materials portfolio.
**Wall St. cons:** more nuanced defense outlook and near-term execution/sentiment risks (also consistent with insider selling and cautious short-term options flow).
**Politicians/congress:** No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days.
Wall Street analysts forecast ATI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATI is 123 USD with a low forecast of 120 USD and a high forecast of 135 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ATI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ATI is 123 USD with a low forecast of 120 USD and a high forecast of 135 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 121.720
Low
120
Averages
123
High
135
Current: 121.720
Low
120
Averages
123
High
135
JPMorgan
Overweight
maintain
$118 -> $135
AI Analysis
2025-12-19
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$118 -> $135
AI Analysis
2025-12-19
maintain
Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on ATI to $135 from $118 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares as part of its aerospace and defense outlook for 2026. The outlook for sector remains mostly positive into 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note. In aerospace, JPMorgan expects strong demand and a gradual supply increase to drive "visible growth." The outlook for defense is "more nuanced," the firm adds.
KeyBanc
Philip Gibbs
Sector Weight -> Overweight
upgrade
$120
2025-11-13
Reason
KeyBanc
Philip Gibbs
Price Target
$120
2025-11-13
upgrade
Sector Weight -> Overweight
Reason
KeyBanc analyst Philip Gibbs last night upgraded ATI to Overweight from Sector Weight with a $120 price target. The company's second half of 2025 core EBITDA margin performance is tracking within its 2027 targeted range despite "meaningful" aerospace and defense sales growth to come, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says ATI also has an "exotic" materials portfolio that can be leveraged should nuclear demand accelerate. It upped estimates and believes the company's "strong" free cash flow outlook supports "refreshing" the share buyback authorization.
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