ASTS Valuation

AST SpaceMobile Inc

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41.440

+0.25(0.607%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ASTS Relative Valuation

ASTS's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ASTS is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

AST SpaceMobile Inc (ASTS) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 91.96 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of -18.43. The fair price of AST SpaceMobile Inc (ASTS) is between 1.72 to 26.01 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 41.20 USD , AST SpaceMobile Inc is Overvalued By 58.37%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

1.72-26.01

Current Price：41.20

58.37%

Overvalued

-43.63

Trailing

Forward

-57.29

EV/EBITDA

AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) has a current EV/EBITDA of -57.29. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -11.34. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -52.59, Undervalued between -52.59 and -31.96, Fairly Valued between 9.28 and -31.96, Overvalued between 9.28 and 29.90, and Strongly Overvalued above 29.90. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -57.29 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

-38.27

EV/EBIT

AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) has a current EV/EBIT of -38.27. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -8.59. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -32.93, Undervalued between -32.93 and -20.76, Fairly Valued between 3.57 and -20.76, Overvalued between 3.57 and 15.74, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.74. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -38.27 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

91.96

AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) has a current PS of 91.96. The 5-year average PS is 33.94. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -33.84, Undervalued between -33.84 and 0.05, Fairly Valued between 67.83 and 0.05, Overvalued between 67.83 and 101.73, and Strongly Overvalued above 101.73. The current Forward PS of 91.96 falls within the Overvalued range.

-67.50

P/OCF

AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) has a current P/OCF of -67.50. The 5-year average P/OCF is -6.68. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -45.04, Undervalued between -45.04 and -25.86, Fairly Valued between 12.50 and -25.86, Overvalued between 12.50 and 31.67, and Strongly Overvalued above 31.67. The current Forward P/OCF of -67.50 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

-17.28

P/FCF

AST SpaceMobile Inc. (ASTS) has a current P/FCF of -17.28. The 5-year average P/FCF is -3.79. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -13.56, Undervalued between -13.56 and -8.67, Fairly Valued between 1.10 and -8.67, Overvalued between 1.10 and 5.98, and Strongly Overvalued above 5.98. The current Forward P/FCF of -17.28 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

AST SpaceMobile Inc (ASTS) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 11.90. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 8.50 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 40.01% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 6.17, the current P/B ratio is about 92.76% higher. AST SpaceMobile Inc (ASTS) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -6.22%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -38.62%, the current FCF yield is approximately -83.89% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -35.79% , the current FCF yield is about -82.62% lower.

11.90

P/B

Median3y

8.50

Median5y

6.17

-6.22

FCF Yield

Median3y

-38.62

Median5y

-35.79

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ASTS's competitors is 16.61, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. AST SpaceMobile Inc Corp (ASTS) exhibits a P/S ratio of 91.96, which is 453.73% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 28.44%, this premium appears sustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Iridium Communications Inc

Ituran Location and Control Ltd

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ASTS increased by 57.51% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -16.14 to -23.97.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 28.44%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ASTS in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

28.44%

900.00K → 1.16M

Revenue Growth

-19.45%

-14.59K → -11.76K

Margin Expansion

48.52%

-16.14 → -23.97

P/E Change

57.51%