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ARWR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc (ARWR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
59.160
1 Day change
-2.48%
52 Week Range
76.760
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc (ARWR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. While the company has promising developments in its obesity pipeline and favorable long-term catalysts, the recent price trend, lack of immediate trading signals, and mixed financial performance suggest that it is better to monitor the stock for a more favorable entry point.

Technical Analysis

The stock is trading below its previous close with a -2.30% regular market change and a -1.67% pre-market change. The RSI is neutral at 46.987, and the MACD is positive but contracting. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but the stock is near its pivot support level (S1: 61.479). Overall, the technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish short-term trend.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate a bullish sentiment in the options market, but the overall volume is low, limiting its significance.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Promising obesity pipeline with positive siRNA-INHBE data and Phase 1/2a results.

  • Analysts have raised price targets significantly, with some targets as high as $

  • Broad pipeline execution with multiple readouts expected later this year, including key Phase 3 SHTG data in Q3.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Recent price decline of -2.30% in the regular market and -1.67% in pre-market trading.

  • Mixed financial performance, with revenue increasing significantly YoY but net income and EPS dropping sharply.

  • Analysts like Morgan Stanley maintain an Equal Weight rating, suggesting cautious optimism.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, revenue surged 10461.32% YoY to $264.03 million, but net income dropped -117.80% YoY to $30.81 million, and EPS fell -115.83% YoY to 0.22. Gross margin remained stable at 100%. While revenue growth is impressive, profitability metrics are concerning.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are mixed but leaning positive. Recent upgrades include price targets of $101 (B. Riley) and $100 (H.C. Wainwright), citing promising obesity data and long-term growth potential. However, Morgan Stanley maintains an Equal Weight rating with a lowered price target of $78, reflecting cautious optimism.

Wall Street analysts forecast ARWR stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ARWR stock price to rise
8 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 60.670
sliders
Low
35
Averages
82
High
110
Current: 60.670
sliders
Low
35
Averages
82
High
110
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
downgrade
$81 -> $78
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$81 -> $78
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Arrowhead to $78 from $81 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Broad pipeline execution continues with multiple readouts expected later this year, including key Phase 3 SHTG data in Q3, the analyst tells investors in a research note. the firm added that while early familial chylomicronemia syndrome launch trends are promising, meaningful sales are not expected in 2026.
B. Riley
Madison El-Saadi
Buy
upgrade
$61 -> $101
2026-01-22
Reason
B. Riley
Madison El-Saadi
Price Target
$61 -> $101
2026-01-22
upgrade
Buy
Reason
B. Riley analyst Madison El-Saadi raised the firm's price target on Arrowhead to $101 from $61 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Positive siRNA-INHBE data and Arrowhead developments sufficiently de-risk INHBE biology, supporting conviction in Arrowhead ahead of a catalyst-heavy period with expected quarterly updates, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The name appears significantly undervalued relative to recent obesity M&A comps, the firm says.
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