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ARWR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc (ARWR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
77.910
1 Day change
-1.44%
52 Week Range
82.260
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/29
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

ARWR is not a clear buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available. The stock has supportive bullish moving averages and a recent run of favorable analyst target increases, but the current price of 79.07 is far above the latest Street target range shown, options sentiment is only mildly bullish, and there is no Intellectia AI Stock Picker or SwingMax buy signal today. My direct view: hold and wait for a better entry, rather than buying immediately at this level.

Technical Analysis

The trend is mixed-to-bullish. Price is above the key moving averages, with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, which supports an upward trend. However, MACD histogram is -0.192 and still below zero, showing momentum has softened. RSI_6 at 61.981 is neutral-to-slightly bullish, not overextended. The stock is sitting near resistance, with pivot 76.308, R1 81.037, and R2 83.959. At 79.07, ARWR is below first resistance but close enough that upside from here looks limited in the near term. The short-pattern estimate also points to modest weakness over the next month.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is mildly bullish because both put-call ratios are below 1. Call open interest (23,501) exceeds put open interest (13,228), and today’s option volume also leaned bullish with call volume 361 vs put volume 149. That said, implied volatility is elevated at 64.67, and activity is only moderate, so the options market suggests cautious optimism rather than a strong conviction breakout.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • ["Recent analyst upgrades and higher price targets, including Morgan Stanley\u2019s Overweight with $100 target and JPMorgan\u2019s Overweight with $88 target.", "Chardan raised its target to $90 after a positive fiscal Q2 report, citing a good start to the Redemplo launch.", "BofA increased its target to $93, reflecting a larger estimated market opportunity for Redemplo-sHTG.", "News on plozasiran showed encouraging clinical data in renal and hepatic impairment without dose adjustment, which supports the pipeline narrative.", "Sector backdrop remains constructive, with biotech broadly outperforming and M&A/IPO activity viewed positively by Bernstein."]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • ["Current Street target from Bernstein is only $46 with a Market Perform rating, showing not all analysts are bullish.", "MACD momentum is negative despite the uptrend in moving averages.", "The stock is trading near resistance, limiting immediate upside from current levels.", "No AI Stock Picker signal and no recent SwingMax signal.", "Similar-candlestick trend data suggests weak near-term performance over the next month.", "No meaningful insider, hedge fund, congress, or politician trading signal was identified."]

Financial Performance

No usable financial snapshot was provided because the financial data returned an error. The latest quarter season mentioned in the analyst commentary is fiscal Q2, and the qualitative read from the news is that the Redemplo launch has started well. Based on the available data, the company appears to be in a growth-driven, catalyst-led phase rather than a mature earnings-proven phase, but I cannot assess revenue or earnings acceleration from the provided financials.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment has trended more positive recently: BofA, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, Chardan, and Bernstein all updated views or targets in May-April 2026, with most targets raised into the $88-$100 range and multiple Buy/Overweight ratings. The main pro view is that ARWR has meaningful pipeline optionality and potential value unlock from the APOC3/sHTG opportunity and Redemplo launch. The con view is that one major house, Bernstein, still only rates it Market Perform with a much lower $46 target, indicating the Street is not fully aligned. Overall Wall Street pros are constructive, but not unanimous.

Wall Street analysts forecast ARWR stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ARWR stock price to rise
8 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 79.050
sliders
Low
35
Averages
82
High
110
Current: 79.050
sliders
Low
35
Averages
82
High
110
Bernstein
Market Perform
maintain
$35 -> $46
AI Analysis
2026-05-13
Reason
Bernstein
Price Target
$35 -> $46
AI Analysis
2026-05-13
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
Bernstein raised the firm's price target on Arrowhead to $46 from $35 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares. Biotech has had a strong start to 2026, up 11% year-to-date, outperforming Pharma and the S&P. The firm's coverage is up 7% year-to-date on a simple-average basis, and down 3% cap weighted - smaller names have outperformed. Overall, Bernstein maintains a positive view on the sector, as it expects M&A and IPO activity to remain healthy, and it views recent changes to FDA leadership as a tailwind, particularly for less mature companies.
Chardan
Buy
maintain
$80 -> $90
2026-05-08
Reason
Chardan
Price Target
$80 -> $90
2026-05-08
maintain
Buy
Reason
Chardan raised the firm's price target on Arrowhead to $90 from $80 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares post the fiscal Q2 report. The U.S. launch of Redemplo is off to a good start, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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