ARR Valuation

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc

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16.860

+0.17(1.019%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

ARR Relative Valuation

ARR's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ARR is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 5.18 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 6.57. The fair price of ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR) is between 18.08 to 29.87 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 16.86 USD , ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc is Undervalued By 6.75%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

18.08-29.87

Current Price：16.86

6.75%

Undervalued

5.18

Trailing

Forward

0.00

EV/EBITDA

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) has a current EV/EBITDA of 0.00. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.00

EV/EBIT

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) has a current EV/EBIT of 0.00. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

6.31

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) has a current PS of 6.31. The 5-year average PS is 6.29. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.41, Undervalued between 0.41 and 3.35, Fairly Valued between 9.23 and 3.35, Overvalued between 9.23 and 12.18, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.18. The current Forward PS of 6.31 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

0.00

P/FCF

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 0.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.00, Undervalued between 0.00 and 0.00, Fairly Valued between 0.00 and 0.00, Overvalued between 0.00 and 0.00, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.00. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.89. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.79 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 13.63% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.78, the current P/B ratio is about 14.35% higher. ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 17.27%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 16.33%, the current FCF yield is approximately 5.74% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 4.36% , the current FCF yield is about 296.46% lower.

0.89

P/B

Median3y

0.79

Median5y

0.78

17.27

FCF Yield

Median3y

16.33

Median5y

4.36

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ARR's competitors is 6.70, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc Corp (ARR) exhibits a P/S ratio of 6.31, which is -5.82% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 0.74%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

ARR.N

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc

Veris Residential Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of ARR decreased by 16.53% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -56.30 to -87.39.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 0.74%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of ARR in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

0.74%

85.89M → 86.52M

Revenue Growth

55.22%

-56.30 → -87.39

Margin Expansion

-72.49%

-101.38 → -27.89

P/E Change

-16.53%