ARQT Stock Price Prediction

Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc

Add to Watchlist

Advanced Chart

13.530

+0.015(+0.110%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ARQT has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

ARQT stock price ended at $13.53 on Friday, after rising 0.11%

The Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc stock price increased by 0.11% on the last trading day (09 May 2025), rising from 13.5 to 13.53. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 5.93% , ranging from a day low of $13.15 to a day high of 13.93. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -7.39% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -685.07K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.99M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 26.81M.

ARQT Technical Signals

ARQT(Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-03-25. The total price change during this trend is -20.92%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of ARQT over the last 5 trading days is 42.15M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

ARQT Moving Average Analysis

Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Sunday, May 11, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $16.19033333333333, and $17.43183333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $12.173333333333332, and $10.931833333333332. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

ARQT Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc(ARQT) as of 09 May 2025 is 20.13%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 13.52 to 13.53. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

1 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20

5.363

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-0.402

Bearish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-1.08

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.135

Bearish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses below 60-day SMA

Bearish

ARQT Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc(ARQT), our algorithm predicts ARQT's 1-month price at $12.96, with an -14.95%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.19%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc (ARQT.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a -14.95% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with BIO.B.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.19%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

ARQT

Future prediction

Up: -14.95%

BIO.B

Down: -14.95%Similarity: 96.19%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

BIO.B.N

96.19%

-14.95%

GLAD.O

96.11%

-8.53%

HCM.O

96.10%

-1.84%

BWB.O

96.06%

+10.10%

X.N

95.92%

-21.50%

YTRA.O

95.83%

-17.71%

VTMX.N

95.59%

-8.24%

UTHR.O

95.44%

+2.32%

AGNC.O

95.41%

+4.49%

HAIN.O

95.40%

0.00%

ARQT Seasonality Analysis

Based on ARQT's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is50.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in ARQT. In contrast,Februaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc (ARQT.O) stock in February has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while October has the lowest probability (0.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc. (ARQT)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.