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ARLO Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy Arlo Technologies Inc (ARLO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
14.730
1 Day change
-0.14%
52 Week Range
19.940
Analysis Updated At
2026/05/01
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ARLO is not a strong buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available. The stock is near short-term support but momentum is weak, options sentiment is bullish, and the latest quarter shows solid revenue and margin growth, yet earnings quality remains mixed because net income and EPS fell sharply year over year. Since the user is impatient and wants a direct entry decision, the best call is to hold rather than buy immediately.

Technical Analysis

ARLO closed at 13.98, slightly below the prior close of 14.05. The technical setup is neutral to weak: MACD histogram is negative and widening, RSI_6 is 41.7, and moving averages are converging, which suggests lack of trend strength. Price is sitting just above S1 at 13.925 and above S2 at 13.533, while pivot resistance is 14.559. The short-term chart does not show a clean bullish breakout, and the near-term trend estimate is muted.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is bullish. The open interest put-call ratio of 0.23 is low, showing more call positioning than puts, and option volume put-call ratio is 0.0, also supportive of bullish sentiment. Implied volatility is elevated at 125.81 with IV percentile at 95.62 and IV rank at 66.21, meaning options are pricing in a lot of movement. That supports a bullish lean in sentiment, but it does not override the weak current price trend.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • ["Revenue rose 16.22% YoY in the latest quarter, showing continued top-line growth.", "Gross margin improved to 46.38%, a strong positive for business quality.", "Options positioning is bullish, with low put-call ratios favoring calls.", "No negative news in the past week, so there is no current event-driven downside catalyst."]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • ["MACD is negative and expanding, signaling weak momentum.", "RSI is in the neutral zone, not yet confirming upside strength.", "Net income fell 218.58% YoY and EPS declined 200.00% YoY in the latest quarter.", "The stock closed below the pivot level and is not showing a confirmed breakout.", "No recent news, analyst upgrades, or catalyst-driven momentum is visible.", "No recent insider buying, hedge fund accumulation, or congress trading support was reported."]

Financial Performance

In 2025/Q4, ARLO posted revenue of 141.3 million, up 16.22% YoY, which is a healthy growth trend. Gross margin improved to 46.38%, indicating better operating efficiency. However, net income dropped to 5.76 million and EPS fell to 0.05, both sharply lower YoY, so profitability remains inconsistent despite stronger sales and margins.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so there is no visible recent Wall Street upgrade/downgrade trend to report. Based on the available data, Wall Street appears mixed: fundamentals are improving on revenue and margin growth, but earnings compression and weak technical momentum limit conviction. Overall, the pros are growth and margin expansion, while the cons are declining earnings, weak trend, and no fresh catalyst.

Wall Street analysts forecast ARLO stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ARLO stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 14.750
sliders
Low
26
Averages
26
High
26
Current: 14.750
sliders
Low
26
Averages
26
High
26
BWS Financial
Hamed Khorsand
Buy
maintain
$24 -> $26
AI Analysis
2025-08-11
Reason
BWS Financial
Hamed Khorsand
Price Target
$24 -> $26
AI Analysis
2025-08-11
maintain
Buy
Reason
BWS Financial analyst Hamed Khorsand raised the firm's price target on Arlo Technologies to $26 from $24 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares post the Q2 report. The company added more paid users than expected, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Raymond James
Outperform
maintain
$15 -> $22
2025-08-08
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
$15 -> $22
2025-08-08
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Raymond James raised the firm's price target on Arlo Technologies to $22 from $15 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Arlo's Q2 results were above expectations on all key metrics, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says big picture thesis points remain, including that Services is on track to exceed a $300M annual run rate business.
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