ARIS Stock Price Prediction

Aris Water Solutions Inc

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23.060

-0.250(-1.070%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Aris Water Solutions Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ARIS has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

ARIS stock price ended at $23.06 on Friday, after losing -1.07%

The Aris Water Solutions Inc stock price decreased by -1.07% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), dropping from 23.38 to 23.06. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 5.60% , ranging from a day low of $22.6525 to a day high of 23.9215. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -13.11% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 566.95K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.22M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 28.16M.

ARIS Technical Signals

ARIS(Aris Water Solutions Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-05-13. The total price change during this trend is -5.22%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of ARIS over the last 5 trading days is 20.66M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

ARIS Moving Average Analysis

Aris Water Solutions Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Sunday, May 18, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $27.056206666666668, and $29.550666666666668. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $18.985126666666666, and $16.490666666666666. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

ARIS Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Aris Water Solutions Inc(ARIS) as of 12 May 2025 is 24.08%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 21.54 to 23.68. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Strong sell

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

1 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA

Bullish

5 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-1.92

Bearish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-3.48

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-1.057

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 5-day SMA

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 200-day SMA

Bearish

ARIS Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Aris Water Solutions Inc(ARIS), our algorithm predicts ARIS's 1-month price at $20.96, with an -9.1%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 90.95%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Aris Water Solutions Inc (ARIS.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -9.1% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ABBV.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 90.95%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

ARIS

Future prediction

Up: -9.1%

ABBV

Down: -9.1%Similarity: 90.95%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

ABBV.N

90.95%

-9.10%

ROKU.O

90.80%

-5.34%

ARIS Seasonality Analysis

Based on ARIS's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is75.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in ARIS. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Aris Water Solutions Inc (ARIS.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while April has the lowest probability (0.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Aris Water Solutions Inc. (ARIS)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.