Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that ARCC stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $22.45, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $22.28. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $22.45. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $22.37, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $33.09. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ARCC has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
ARCC stock price ended at $22.33 on Monday, after losing-0.36%
The Ares Capital Corp stock price decreased by -0.36% on the last trading day (07 Jul 2025), dropping from 22.35 to 22.33. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 0.99% , ranging from a day low of $22.2 to a day high of 22.42. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 3.91% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 892.76K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 3.11M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 69.31M.
ARCC Technical Signals
ARCC(Ares Capital Corp Corp) has 4 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-06-17. The total price change during this trend is +4.74%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of ARCC over the last 5 trading days is 81.36M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
ARCC Moving Average Analysis
Ares Capital Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, July 8, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $22.64, and $23.12. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $21.08, and $20.60. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
ARCC Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Ares Capital Corp(ARCC) as of 03 Jul 2025 is 31.64%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 22.26 to 22.41. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.297
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.84
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.147
Bullish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, Ares Capital Corp (ARCC) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $18.21 and $30.23.
Ares Capital Corp Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: ARCC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -4.66%
In Jan 2026, Ares Capital Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $20.55. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $18.21 and a high of $25.03.
Feb 2026: ARCC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 29.01%
In Feb 2026, Ares Capital Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $27.81. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $25.06 and a high of $29.69.
Mar 2026: ARCC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 12.94%
In Mar 2026, Ares Capital Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $24.35. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $21.39 and a high of $26.63.
Apr 2026: ARCC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 6.45%
In Apr 2026, Ares Capital Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $22.95. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $22.37 and a high of $24.03.
May 2026: ARCC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -4.66%
In May 2026, Ares Capital Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $20.55. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $18.48 and a high of $21.69.
Jun 2026: ARCC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 11.30%
In Jun 2026, Ares Capital Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $24.00. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $22.90 and a high of $26.20.
Jul 2026: ARCC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 3.77%
In Jul 2026, Ares Capital Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $22.37. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $20.76 and a high of $24.33.
Aug 2026: ARCC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 16.50%
In Aug 2026, Ares Capital Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $25.12. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $21.64 and a high of $29.69.
Sep 2026: ARCC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 2.82%
In Sep 2026, Ares Capital Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $22.17. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $21.66 and a high of $22.58.
Oct 2026: ARCC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 21.27%
In Oct 2026, Ares Capital Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $26.15. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $22.34 and a high of $30.23.
Nov 2026: ARCC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -3.92%
In Nov 2026, Ares Capital Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $20.71. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $20.66 and a high of $20.77.
Dec 2026: ARCC Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -4.66%
In Dec 2026, Ares Capital Corp's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $20.55. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $20.31 and a high of $23.01.
ARCC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Ares Capital Corp(ARCC), our algorithm predicts ARCC's 1-month price at $25.31, with an 12.94%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 93.20%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Ares Capital Corp (ARCC.O) stock, as of Sunday, July 6, 2025 , forecasts a 12.94% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with IQV.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 93.2%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
ARCC
No Data
IQV
Up: 12.94%Similarity: 93.2%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
IQV.N
93.20%
+12.94%
FA.O
93.15%
+4.34%
VRRM.O
92.93%
-6.36%
UL.N
92.11%
+2.69%
TDC.N
92.10%
-0.05%
GTES.N
91.67%
+0.57%
WLDN.O
91.65%
+28.04%
EAT.N
91.63%
+15.14%
LOW.N
91.26%
-0.10%
BRX.N
91.25%
-12.71%
ARCC Seasonality Analysis
Based on ARCC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is64.29%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in ARCC. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at66.67%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Ares Capital Corp (ARCC.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (66.67%), while March has the lowest probability (38.46%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Ares Capital Corp (ARCC.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. ARCC has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Ares Capital Corp (ARCC.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Ares Capital Corp (ARCC.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (66.67%), while March has the lowest probability (38.46%).
How has Ares Capital Corp. (ARCC)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
ARCC's stock price rose by 7.86% in 2023,increased by 6.84% in 2024, and went up by 2.84%in 2025.
Is ARCC a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
ARCC has 4 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for ARCC is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of ARCC.
What is the trend of Ares Capital Corp (ARCC)'s moving average?
Ares Capital Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of July 08 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal.
What is price prediction for ARCC stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Ares Capital Corp (ARCC.O) stock, as of July 06 2025, forecasts a 12.94% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with IQV stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 93.2%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for ARCC Stock?
ARCC stock is expected to reach **$22.50** by year-end 2025, supported by strong debt management and portfolio diversification. The stock may face short-term challenges due to declining earnings estimates. Analysts maintain a cautious outlook with a $23.17 average price target.
What is price prediction 2030 for ARCC Stock?
ARCC stock is predicted to reach **$28 by 2030**, driven by its strong balance sheet, diversified portfolio, and sustained dividend yield of over 9%. Analysts remain bullish, with price targets suggesting upside potential.