AOS Price Prediction Next Week
Technical Analysis:
Based on recent price action, AOS is showing a bearish trend in the short term. The stock closed at $80.42 on Friday (Feb 23, 2025), with RSI at 41.68 indicating neutral momentum but trending lower. The MACD line at -0.93 with a positive histogram of 0.14 suggests potential trend reversal.
News Impact:
Recent negative catalysts include:
- Q4 2024 earnings miss with adjusted EPS of $0.85 vs $0.89 expected
- Revenue declined 7.7% YoY to $912.4M vs $953.93M expected
- Weak guidance for 2025 with adjusted profit forecast of $3.60-$3.90 per share, below analyst estimates of $4.03
- International sales fell over 4% in 2024 due to weak demand in China
Price Prediction for Next Week:
Based on technical indicators and Fibonacci levels:
- Support levels: $64.88, $64.12, $62.89
- Resistance levels: $67.34, $68.10, $69.33
- Pivot point: $66.11
Given the bearish fundamentals and technical setup, AOS is likely to test lower support levels next week. The stock could decline to the first support at $64.88 (-19.3% from current price).
Trading Recommendation: SELL
Rationale:
- Deteriorating fundamentals with missed earnings and weak guidance
- Technical indicators showing bearish momentum
- Significant overhead resistance and room for downside
- Negative sentiment from recent earnings report likely to pressure price
Target exit price: $64.88 (first support level) Stop loss: $82.00 (above recent high)
AOS Similar Chart Price Prediction
The price of AOS is predicted to go up 10.57%, based on the high correlation periods with VLT. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 97.11%.
AOS
VLT
Up: 10.57%Similarity: 97.11%
AOS Revenue Forecast
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AOS Analyst's Forecast
Damian Karas
UBS
Hold
2025-01-31
Price Target
$80 → $74
Upside
+10.19%
UBS analyst Damian Karas lowered the firm's price target on A.O. Smith to $74 from $80 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Operating results were weak in both segments of the business, and 2025 guidance is calling for a second consecutive year of roughly flat EPS, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The valuation multiple should have limited downside and a low bar has already been set for this year, which should ease concerns of downward guidance revisions, but the question of whether rising competition is eating away at the company's market position requires further clarity, UBS says.
Nathan Jones
Stifel
Strong Buy
2025-01-31
Price Target
$90 → $84
Upside
+25.08%
Bryan Blair
Oppenheimer
Hold → Buy
2025-01-14
Price Target
$88
Upside
+23.78%
