Quarterly Results
AOS Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, AOS remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 929.74M and an EPS of 0.84.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -1.02%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -0.9%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -4.08% . These revisions correlate with a 0.96% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in AOS long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how AOS performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AOS sees a +2.03% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.11% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.35%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -1.89% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -1.57% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of AOS's latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
AOS reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-28, showcasing a revenue of 942.50M against an estimate of 948.12M, resulting in a -0.59% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected 0.89 by 0% . The stock experienced a -2.58% price change on the earnings day and a -3.82% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did AOS's stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
Following AOS's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-28, the stock price moved by -2.58% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -3.82% change. Historically, AOS's stock price tends to shift by an average of +2.03% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.11% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for AOS for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate AOS’s annual revenue to reach 929.74M, while the EPS is projected at 0.84. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -1.02% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -4.08% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does AOS's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between AOS's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -1.02%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -4.08% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from AOS's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, AOS's stock price typically moves by +2.03% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.11% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.84 and revenue of 929.74M.
What is the sentiment in A O Smith Corp (AOS) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment. While there are positive developments such as increased EPS outlook, strong North America boiler sales, and strategic acquisitions, challenges like rising steel costs, tariff impacts, and declining China sales present concerns. The Q&A section highlighted uncertainties in the China market and the need for further investment in North American water treatment. Overall, the combination of positive guidance and strategic initiatives is counterbalanced by cost pressures and market challenges, leading to a neutral outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.

