Should I Buy Amazon.com Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AMZN has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
AMZN stock price ended at $205.59 on Friday, after rising 0.2%
The Amazon.com Inc stock price increased by 0.2% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), rising from 206.85 to 205.59. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.21% , ranging from a day low of $204.374 to a day high of 206.85. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 8.22% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -22.17M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 42.17M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 8.65B.
AMZN Technical Signals
AMZN(Amazon.com Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-13. The total price change during this trend is -2.83%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of AMZN over the last 5 trading days is 10.15B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
AMZN Moving Average Analysis
Amazon.com Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 17, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $217.74282000000002, and $229.58100000000002. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $179.43918, and $167.601. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
AMZN Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Amazon.com Inc(AMZN) as of 12 May 2025 is 15.63%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 193.06 to 208.64. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
19.513
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
15.18
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
4.872
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
83.773
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
123.804
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
86.231
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 5-day SMA
--
Bearish
AMZN Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Amazon.com Inc(AMZN), our algorithm predicts AMZN's 1-month price at $209.84, with an 8.69%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.46%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a 8.69% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with GFS.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.46%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
AMZN
No Data
GFS
Up: 8.69%Similarity: 95.46%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
GFS.O
95.46%
+8.69%
PCOR.N
94.85%
+8.30%
RMBS.O
93.86%
+10.45%
MKSI.O
93.85%
+13.25%
WSM.N
93.69%
+8.44%
TPG.O
93.07%
+4.66%
AMKR.O
92.73%
+8.65%
LRCX.O
92.69%
+12.04%
MDB.O
92.49%
+7.14%
PDFS.O
92.39%
+7.01%
AMZN Seasonality Analysis
Based on AMZN's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AMZN. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while September has the lowest probability (20.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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