Should I Buy AM? AM 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Antero Midstream Corp (AM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

18.720

1 Day change

0.43%

52 Week Range

19.820

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

AM is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who wants to enter immediately. The stock is technically overbought near resistance, and both hedge funds and insiders have been selling aggressively. While the business posted solid 2025/Q3 growth and options positioning looks more bullish than bearish, the near-term risk/reward at ~$18.77 pre-market is not attractive enough to justify a fresh long-term entry today.

Technical Analysis

Price is in a short-term uptrend but looks stretched. RSI(6) is ~80.98 (overbought), suggesting limited upside near-term and higher pullback risk. MACD histogram is positive (0.132) but contracting, implying bullish momentum is fading. MAs are converging, often preceding a consolidation or reversal. Key levels: Pivot 18.304; Resistance R1 18.854 (price is close to this), R2 19.194; Support S1 17.754, S2 17.414. With price near R1 and overbought RSI, the setup favors consolidation/pullback rather than a clean long-term entry today. Pattern-based projection also leans negative over 1 month (-3.51%).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is net-bullish: open interest put/call at 0.38 indicates far more calls than puts outstanding, and volume put/call at 0.65 also leans bullish (more call activity than put activity). Implied vol (30d) ~22.81 vs historical vol ~21.02 suggests modestly elevated but not extreme option pricing; IV percentile ~28 and IV rank ~11 imply options are relatively cheap versus the past year. This supports a mildly positive sentiment backdrop, but it does not override the overbought technical condition and strong insider/hedge-fund selling signals.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Solid recent operating trend: 2025/Q3 revenue +9.25% YoY, net income +16.31% YoY, EPS +14.29% YoY.
Next earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-11 (after hours) could re-rate shares if results/guide surprise to the upside.
Analyst price targets around $20 (Wells Fargo PT $20; Morgan Stanley PT $
imply modest upside from ~$18.77 if execution remains steady.
Options positioning (low put/call ratios) suggests the derivatives market is not positioned defensively.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Technical overstretch: RSI ~81 (overbought) with price sitting near resistance (R1 18.854), increasing near-term pullback odds.
Momentum deceleration: MACD remains positive but is contracting, often seen before consolidation.
Flow/sentiment warning: Hedge funds are selling (selling amount +532.39% over last quarter) and insiders are selling (selling amount +626.28% over last month), which is a strong negative signal for near-term confidence.
No supportive news flow in the last week; limited near-term narrative catalysts outside upcoming earnings.
Quant/pattern-based expectation shows negative 1-month drift (-3.51%).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue rose to $294.821M (+9.25% YoY), net income increased to $115.846M (+16.31% YoY), and EPS grew to $0.24 (+14.29% YoY). Overall, this reflects steady growth and improving profitability versus last year, which is constructive for long-term holders—however, the current entry timing is less favorable due to overbought technicals and heavy selling by insiders/hedge funds.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst activity is mixed to cautious rather than strongly bullish. Wells Fargo (2025-12-23) kept an Equal Weight stance while raising PT to $20 (from $19), implying limited upside and a view that the current growth outlook is fairly reflected. Morgan Stanley (2025-11-12) raised PT to $20 (from $19) but maintained an Underweight rating, signaling valuation/relative preference concerns despite incremental improvements. Wall Street pros view: Pros—steady business and modest upside to $20 targets; Cons—ratings skew cautious (Equal Weight/Underweight) suggesting limited conviction that AM will outperform peers from current levels.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast AM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AM is 20 USD with a low forecast of 20 USD and a high forecast of 20 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

1 Hold

1 Sell

Moderate Sell

Current: 18.640

Low

Averages

High

Current: 18.640

Low

Averages

High

Citi

Buy

upgrade

AI Analysis

2026-01-16

Reason

Citi

Price Target

AI Analysis

2026-01-16

upgrade

Buy

Reason

Citi raised the firm's price target on Dassault Aviation to EUR 377 from EUR 348 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

Goldman Sachs

Alexander Blostein

maintain

$300 -> $341

2026-01-06

Reason

Goldman Sachs

Alexander Blostein

Price Target

$300 -> $341

2026-01-06

maintain

Reason

Goldman Sachs analyst Alexander Blostein raised the firm's price target on Affiliated Managers to $341 from $300 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Goldman Sachs is broadly positive on its Capital Markets coverage into 2026, with Alternative and Traditional managers presenting the most compelling upside, followed by Brokers and Trust Banks, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm expects Capital Markets recovery to gain steam across M&A and Equity Capital Markets.

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AM Should I Buy

AM Should I Buy

Should You Buy Antero Midstream Corp (AM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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