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ALMU Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Aeluma Inc (ALMU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
12.620
1 Day change
-4.90%
52 Week Range
25.880
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.
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Aeluma Inc (ALMU) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available. The technical indicators are bearish, the financial performance is deteriorating, and there are no significant positive catalysts or trading signals to support an immediate purchase. It is better to hold off on investing in this stock until there are clearer signs of recovery or positive momentum.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for ALMU are bearish. The MACD is negative and expanding downward, RSI is neutral at 29.859, and the moving averages are in a bearish alignment (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below key support levels, with S1 at 13.652 and a pivot at 15. This suggests a lack of upward momentum in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high Option Volume Put-Call Ratio of 1.6 indicates bearish sentiment in the options market, with more puts being traded than calls. Implied volatility is high at 128.12, suggesting uncertainty and potential price swings.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • NULL. There are no recent news, significant insider or hedge fund activity, or congress trading data to act as positive catalysts.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's financial performance has significantly deteriorated in Q2 2026, with revenue down 21.12% YoY, net income down 35.99% YoY, EPS down 58.33% YoY, and gross margin dropping 56.47% YoY. Technical indicators are bearish, and options data reflects bearish sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q2 2026, Aeluma Inc's financials showed a sharp decline. Revenue dropped to $1,272,000 (-21.12% YoY), net income fell to -$1,853,000 (-35.99% YoY), EPS declined to -0.1 (-58.33% YoY), and gross margin dropped to 27.75% (-56.47% YoY). These metrics indicate significant financial challenges.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target changes are available for ALMU.

Wall Street analysts forecast ALMU stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALMU stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 13.270
sliders
Low
25
Averages
25.5
High
26
Current: 13.270
sliders
Low
25
Averages
25.5
High
26
Benchmark
David Williams
initiated
$25
AI Analysis
2025-07-23
Reason
Benchmark
David Williams
Price Target
$25
AI Analysis
2025-07-23
initiated
Reason
Benchmark analyst David Williams initiated coverage of Aeluma with a Buy rating and $25 price target.
Benchmark
David Williams
Buy
initiated
$25
2025-07-23
Reason
Benchmark
David Williams
Price Target
$25
2025-07-23
initiated
Buy
Reason
As previously reported, Benchmark analyst David Williams initiated coverage of Aeluma with a Buy rating and $25 price target. The firm believes the company's proprietary large diameter silicon wafer process enables superior performance characteristics at a significantly lower manufacturing cost and views Aeluma as positioned to "fundamentally disrupt the high-performance sensing and communications compound semiconductor market." The firm believes this technology platform will capture significant share in existing applications and unlock high-performance devices for mass markets, making it "a key enabler of emerging technologies," the analyst added.
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